Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Anderlecht win with a probability of 41.99%. A win for Genk had a probability of 34.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Anderlecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.47%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Genk win was 1-2 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Anderlecht in this match.