Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 72.21%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Kortrijk had a probability of 11.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 1-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.8%), while for a Kortrijk win it was 1-2 (3.29%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genk would win this match.