/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fazlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F17%2Farilog.png)
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Zico Buurmeester
21'
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50'
-
61'
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Alexandre Penetra
68'
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Alvaro Zamora
29'
AZ Alkmaar vs Aris Thessaloniki - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 77.24%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 8.35%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.33%) and 1-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.8%), while for an Aris Thessaloniki win it was 0-1 (2.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
Result
AZ Alkmaar
77.24%
▲
(+0.06)
Draw
14.41%
▼
(-0.03)
Aris Thessaloniki
8.35%
▼
(-0.03)
Both Teams to Score:
48.69%
▼
(-0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5
65.12%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 2.5
34.88%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 3.5
43.15%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 3.5
56.85%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 4.5
24.72%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 4.5
75.27%
▼
(-0.03)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5
92.63%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 0.5
7.37%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 1.5
73.41%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 1.5
26.58%
▼
(-0.05)
Aris Thessaloniki Goals
Over 0.5
52.56%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 0.5
47.44%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 1.5
17.19%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 1.5
82.81%
▲
(+0.04)
Score analysis
AZ Alkmaar
77.23%
Draw
14.41%
Aris Thessaloniki
8.35%
AZ Alkmaar
2-0
@
11.88%
3-0 @ 10.33% ▲ (+0.02)
1-0 @ 9.12% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.87% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 7.71%
4-0 @ 6.74% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 5.02% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 3.51% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.87% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 2.62% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.87%
6-0 @ 1.53% ▲ (+0.01)
6-1 @ 1.14% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.03%
Total : 77.23%
3-0 @ 10.33% ▲ (+0.02)
1-0 @ 9.12% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.87% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 7.71%
4-0 @ 6.74% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 5.02% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 3.51% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.87% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 2.62% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.87%
6-0 @ 1.53% ▲ (+0.01)
6-1 @ 1.14% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.03%
Total : 77.23%
Draw
1-1
@
6.8%
▼
(-0.02)
0-0 @ 3.5% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.31% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 14.41%
0-0 @ 3.5% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.31% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 14.41%
Aris Thessaloniki
0-1
@
2.61%
▼
(-0.01)
1-2 @ 2.54% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 8.35%
1-2 @ 2.54% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 8.35%