AZ Alkmaar
Club Friendlies 3
Jul 24, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Sportpark vv Dirkshorn
Aris

AZ
2 - 1
Aris

Buurmeester (21'), Penetra (68')
(50'), (61')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Zamora (29')
Coverage of the Club Friendlies 3 Club Friendlies 3 clash between AZ Alkmaar and Aris Thessaloniki.

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: AZ 3-0 Kortrijk
Saturday, July 20 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 3

Aris Thessaloniki

All competitions
Last Game: Aris 1-2 PAOK
Sunday, May 19 at 6pm in Greek Superleague

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 77.24%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 8.35%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.33%) and 1-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.8%), while for an Aris Thessaloniki win it was 0-1 (2.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawAris Thessaloniki
77.24% (0.057000000000002 0.06)14.41% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)8.35% (-0.029 -0.03)
Both teams to score 48.69% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.12% (0.031000000000006 0.03)34.88% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.15% (0.034999999999997 0.03)56.85% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.63% (0.019000000000005 0.02)7.37% (-0.018 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.41% (0.048000000000002 0.05)26.58% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Aris Thessaloniki Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.56% (-0.047999999999995 -0.05)47.44% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.19% (-0.032 -0.03)82.81% (0.034000000000006 0.03)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 77.23%
    Aris Thessaloniki 8.35%
    Draw 14.41%
AZ AlkmaarDrawAris Thessaloniki
2-0 @ 11.88%
3-0 @ 10.33% (0.02 0.02)
1-0 @ 9.12% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.87% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.71%
4-0 @ 6.74% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 5.02% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 3.51% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.87% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
5-1 @ 2.62% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.87%
6-0 @ 1.53% (0.006 0.01)
6-1 @ 1.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-2 @ 0.98%
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 77.23%
1-1 @ 6.8% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.5% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.31% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 14.41%
0-1 @ 2.61% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 2.54% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 0.97% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 8.35%