Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 49.75%. A win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 26.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.11%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Aris Thessaloniki win was 2-1 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for PAOK in this match.