Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 40.64%. A win for AEK Athens had a probability of 35.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.62%) and 2-0 (6.01%). The likeliest AEK Athens win was 1-2 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PAOK would win this match.