Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 38.08%. A win for Panathinaikos had a probability of 37.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.8%) and 0-2 (5.77%). The likeliest Panathinaikos win was 2-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.