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Club Friendlies 3
Aug 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
AZ Alkmaar

Stoke
0 - 1
AZ


Johansson (13'), Burger (37')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Parrott (48')
Clasie (58')
Coverage of the Club Friendlies 3 Club Friendlies 3 clash between Stoke City and AZ Alkmaar.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stoke City

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Bolton 0-1 Stoke
Tuesday, July 30 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 3

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: AZ 1-1 Le Havre
Wednesday, July 31 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 43.97%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 31.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.84%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 2-1 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawAZ Alkmaar
31.45% (-0.017999999999997 -0.02)24.58% (-0.141 -0.14)43.97% (0.156 0.16)
Both teams to score 57.85% (0.479 0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.05% (0.628 0.63)44.95% (-0.631 -0.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.7% (0.602 0.6)67.3% (-0.60499999999999 -0.6)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.8% (0.29700000000001 0.3)27.2% (-0.301 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.39% (0.38800000000001 0.39)62.61% (-0.391 -0.39)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.46% (0.331 0.33)20.54% (-0.334 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.95% (0.521 0.52)53.05% (-0.524 -0.52)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 31.45%
    AZ Alkmaar 43.97%
    Draw 24.58%
Stoke CityDrawAZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 7.5% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-0 @ 7.27% (-0.137 -0.14)
2-0 @ 4.74% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.25% (0.028 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.58% (0.048 0.05)
3-0 @ 2.06% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.06% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 3%
Total : 31.45%
1-1 @ 11.51% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.93% (0.061 0.06)
0-0 @ 5.59% (-0.153 -0.15)
3-3 @ 1.36% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.58%
1-2 @ 9.11% (0.016 0.02)
0-1 @ 8.84% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-2 @ 7% (-0.047 -0.05)
1-3 @ 4.81% (0.057 0.06)
0-3 @ 3.69% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.13% (0.064 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.9% (0.042 0.04)
0-4 @ 1.46% (0.02 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.24% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 43.97%