Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 38.11%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 35.44% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (9.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stockport County in this match.

Result
Stockport County	Draw	Stoke City
38.11% ( 0.01)	26.45% ( 0)	35.44% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 52.64% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.84% (

-0)

52.16% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.12%

73.88% (

Stockport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.34% (

0.01)

26.66% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.1% (

0.01)

61.9% (

-0.01)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.78% (

-0.01)

28.22% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.08% (

-0.01)

63.92% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Stockport County 38.11%

Stoke City 35.44%

Draw 26.45%

Stockport County	Draw	Stoke City
1-0 @ 9.95% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.32% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.57% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.67% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.9% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.32% 4-1 @ 1.21% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 2.22% Total : 38.11%	1-1 @ 12.58% 0-0 @ 7.52% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.26% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.45%	0-1 @ 9.52% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.96% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.02% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.36% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.54% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.22% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.06% ( -0) Other @ 2.76% Total : 35.44%