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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 51.43%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 25.5% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.86%) and 0-2 (8%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 2-1 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Stockport County in this match.
| Result | ||
| Colchester United | Draw | Stockport County |
| 25.5% | 23.08% | 51.43% |
| Both teams to score 58.63% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.04% | 41.96% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.64% | 64.36% ( |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.13% ( | 29.87% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.04% | 65.96% ( |
| Stockport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.6% ( | 16.4% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.95% | 46.06% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Colchester United | Draw | Stockport County |
| 2-1 @ 6.47% 1-0 @ 5.92% 2-0 @ 3.58% 3-1 @ 2.61% 3-2 @ 2.35% 3-0 @ 1.44% Other @ 3.14% Total : 25.5% | 1-1 @ 10.7% 2-2 @ 5.85% 0-0 @ 4.9% 3-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.08% | 1-2 @ 9.67% 0-1 @ 8.86% 0-2 @ 8% 1-3 @ 5.83% 0-3 @ 4.82% 2-3 @ 3.52% 1-4 @ 2.63% 0-4 @ 2.18% 2-4 @ 1.59% 1-5 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.36% Total : 51.43% |