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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 46.21%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 29.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.91%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 2-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sutton United | Draw | Stockport County |
| 29.57% ( | 24.22% ( | 46.21% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.07% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.79% ( | 44.2% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.41% ( | 66.58% ( |
| Sutton United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.93% ( | 28.07% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.27% ( | 63.73% ( |
| Stockport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.72% ( | 19.27% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.99% ( | 51% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sutton United | Draw | Stockport County |
| 2-1 @ 7.19% ( 1-0 @ 6.87% ( 2-0 @ 4.37% ( 3-1 @ 3.04% ( 3-2 @ 2.51% ( 3-0 @ 1.85% ( 4-1 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 2.77% Total : 29.57% | 1-1 @ 11.31% 2-2 @ 5.92% ( 0-0 @ 5.41% ( 3-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.21% | 1-2 @ 9.32% ( 0-1 @ 8.91% ( 0-2 @ 7.33% ( 1-3 @ 5.11% 0-3 @ 4.02% ( 2-3 @ 3.25% ( 1-4 @ 2.11% ( 0-4 @ 1.66% ( 2-4 @ 1.34% Other @ 3.18% Total : 46.21% |