League Two Gameweek 43
Apr 6, 2024 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT JobServe Community Stadium
  • John Akinde 54' goal
  • yellowcard George Evans 29'
  • goal Paul Mullin 62'
  • goal Max Cleworth 85'

Colchester United vs Wrexham - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Colchester United

All competitions
Last game
Apr 1, 2024 3.00pm
Tranmere 1 - 1 Colchester
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Joe Taylor

Wrexham

All competitions
Last game
Apr 2, 2024 7.45pm
Doncaster 1 - 0 Wrexham
Goals scored
89
Top scorer
Paul Mullin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 42.19%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 32.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.88%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 2-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Wrexham in this match.

Result

Colchester United 32.9% (+0.10)
Draw 24.9% (+0.01)
Wrexham 42.19% (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.32% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.09% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 45.9% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 31.79% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 68.21% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 15.92% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 84.08% (+0.01)

Colchester United Goals

Over 0.5 73.25% (+0.06)
Under 0.5 26.75% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 37.98% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 62.02% (-0.08)

Wrexham Goals

Over 0.5 78.24% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 21.75% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 45.06% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 54.93% (+0.08)

Score analysis

Colchester United 32.9%
Draw 24.9%
Wrexham 42.2%
Colchester United
2-1 @ 7.72% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 7.67% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 5.06% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.39% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.59% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.22% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.12% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 32.9%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.7%
2-2 @ 5.89% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.82% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.9%
Wrexham
1-2 @ 8.93% (-0.02)
0-1 @ 8.88% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 6.77% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 4.54% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 3.44% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.99% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.73% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.31% (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.14% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 42.2%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 22
Dec 16, 2023 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Poolfoot Farm
  • Elliot Lee 4' goal
  • George Evans 20' yellowcard
  • George Evans 26' redcard
  • James McClean 37' yellowcard
  • Ben Tozer 56' yellowcard
  • Zach Mitchell 69' goal
  • Jordan Davies 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joe Taylor 43'
  • yellowcard Fiacre Kelleher 74'
  • goal Jayden Fevrier 89'
League One
Feb 22, 2005 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Mark Jones 50' goal
  • Hector Sam 80' goal
  • yellowcard Craig Fagan 45'
  • goal Neil Danns 60'
  • goal Wayne Brown 71'
League One
Oct 19, 2004 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Neil Danns 49' goal
  • Craig Fagan 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Danny Williams 45'
  • goal Steve Roberts 59'
  • goal Chris Llewellyn 90'
  • yellowcard Chris Llewellyn 90'