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Championship header 2

League Two

Colchester United
League Two | Gameweek 43
Apr 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
JobServe Community Stadium
Wrexham AFC

Colchester
1 - 2
Wrexham

Akinde (54')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mullin (62'), Cleworth (85')
Evans (29')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Colchester United and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Colchester United

All competitions
Last Game: Tranmere 1-1 Colchester
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League Two

Wrexham

All competitions
Last Game: Doncaster 1-0 Wrexham
Tuesday, April 2 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 42.19%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 32.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.88%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 2-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Wrexham in this match.

Result
Colchester UnitedDrawWrexham
32.9% (0.094000000000001 0.09)24.9% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)42.19% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11)
Both teams to score 57.32% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.09% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)45.9% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.79% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)68.21% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.25% (0.052000000000007 0.05)26.75% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.98% (0.072000000000003 0.07)62.02% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.24% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)21.75% (0.052 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.06% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)54.93% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Colchester United 32.9%
    Wrexham 42.2%
    Draw 24.9%
Colchester UnitedDrawWrexham
2-1 @ 7.72% (0.015 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.67% (0.014 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.06% (0.018 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.39% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.59% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.22% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.12% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 32.9%
1-1 @ 11.7%
2-2 @ 5.89% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 5.82% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.9%
1-2 @ 8.93% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
0-1 @ 8.88% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.77% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.54% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.44% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.99% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.73% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.31% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.14% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 42.2%

How you voted: Colchester vs Wrexham

Colchester United
21.1%
Draw
21.1%
Wrexham
57.9%
19
Head to Head
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Wrexham
2-1
Colchester
Lee (4'), Mitchell (69' og.)
Evans (20'), McClean (37'), Tozer (56'), Davies (90+4')
Evans (26')
Fevrier (89')
Taylor (43'), Kelleher (74')
> Preview
Feb 22, 2005 3pm
Wrexham
2-2
Colchester
Jones (50'), Sam (80')
Brown (71'), Danns (60')
Fagan (45')
Oct 19, 2004 3pm
Colchester
1-2
Wrexham
Danns (49')
Fagan (75')
Roberts (59'), Llewellyn (90')
Williams (45'), Llewellyn (90')