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Wrexham AFC
League Two | Gameweek 41
Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
Poolfoot Farm
Mansfield Town

Wrexham
2 - 0
Mansfield

Mullin (32', 67' pen.)
McClean (3'), McClean (3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Clarke (45'), Reed (69'), Lewis (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Wrexham and Mansfield Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-3 Wrexham
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 1-1 Colchester
Saturday, March 23 at 12.30pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 41.43%. A win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 34.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win was 1-2 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
WrexhamDrawMansfield Town
41.43% (-0.16399999999999 -0.16)24.51% (0.081 0.08)34.05% (0.077999999999996 0.08)
Both teams to score 59.05% (-0.271 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.21% (-0.362 -0.36)43.79% (0.36 0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.82% (-0.355 -0.35)66.18% (0.352 0.35)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.79% (-0.23100000000001 -0.23)21.21% (0.228 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.89% (-0.359 -0.36)54.1% (0.355 0.35)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.95% (-0.126 -0.13)25.05% (0.123 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.27% (-0.17299999999999 -0.17)59.73% (0.17 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 41.43%
    Mansfield Town 34.05%
    Draw 24.51%
WrexhamDrawMansfield Town
2-1 @ 8.84% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.24% (0.072000000000001 0.07)
2-0 @ 6.39% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.57% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.3% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.16% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.77% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.28% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 41.43%
1-1 @ 11.4% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 6.12% (-0.031999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.31% (0.082999999999999 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.46% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.51%
1-2 @ 7.89% (0.013 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.36% (0.089 0.09)
0-2 @ 5.09% (0.044 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.64% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.82% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.35% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.26% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.98% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 34.05%

How you voted: Wrexham vs Mansfield

Wrexham
85.7%
Draw
4.8%
Mansfield Town
9.5%
21
Head to Head
Nov 4, 2023 7.45pm
First Round
Mansfield
1-2
Wrexham
Oates (60')
Reed (68')
Dalby (23'), Mullin (58')
Evans (32'), Davies (90+3')
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Mansfield
0-0
Wrexham
Clarke (18'), Cargill (19')
Evans (69')
Apr 1, 2008 3pm
Mansfield
2-1
Wrexham
Mullins (54'), Louis (51' pen.)
Mar 1, 2008 3pm
Wrexham
1-1
Mansfield
Proctor (70')
Bolland (35')
Boulding (53')
Mar 31, 2007 3pm
Wrexham
0-0
Mansfield
Williams (12'), Proctor (65')
Jelleyman (27'), White (41'), Hamshaw (65'), Brown (77')