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Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
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Notts County
League Two | Gameweek 29
Apr 16, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Meadow Lane Stadium
Stockport County

Notts County
2 - 5
Stockport

Langstaff (61'), Crowley (63')
Crowley (32'), Langstaff (71')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Madden (26', 33' pen., 40'), Sarcevic (50'), Pye (84')
Briston (36'), Sarcevic (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Notts County and Stockport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Walsall 1-3 Notts County
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Stockport 2-0 Morecambe
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Notts County 1-2 Stockport County

Back-to-back victories will have increased confidence significantly inside the Notts County camp, but the visit of the league leaders will seriously threaten the Magpies' winning run. Stockport are unlikely to take their foot off the gas despite already having promotion wrapped up, and we believe that the League Two title will be theirs on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 50.69%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 27.55% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.59%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Notts County win was 2-1 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.

Result
Notts CountyDrawStockport County
27.55% (-0.399 -0.4) 21.76% (-0.139 -0.14) 50.69% (0.539 0.54)
Both teams to score 65.41% (0.175 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.11% (0.373 0.37)33.88% (-0.373 -0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.26% (0.421 0.42)55.73% (-0.42 -0.42)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.84% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)24.15% (0.067 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.53% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)58.47% (0.096000000000004 0.1)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.24% (0.306 0.31)13.75% (-0.306 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.96% (0.605 0.61)41.04% (-0.604 -0.6)
Score Analysis
    Notts County 27.55%
    Stockport County 50.69%
    Draw 21.76%
Notts CountyDrawStockport County
2-1 @ 6.65% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-0 @ 4.72% (-0.101 -0.1)
2-0 @ 3.35% (-0.079 -0.08)
3-1 @ 3.15% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.13% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.59% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.12% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 27.55%
1-1 @ 9.36% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
2-2 @ 6.6% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 3.32% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-3 @ 2.07% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 21.76%
1-2 @ 9.29% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.59% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-2 @ 6.54% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 6.14% (0.075 0.08)
2-3 @ 4.36% (0.045000000000001 0.05)
0-3 @ 4.32% (0.061000000000001 0.06)
1-4 @ 3.05% (0.071 0.07)
2-4 @ 2.16% (0.046 0.05)
0-4 @ 2.14% (0.053 0.05)
1-5 @ 1.21% (0.041 0.04)
3-4 @ 1.03% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 50.69%

How you voted: Notts County vs Stockport

Notts County
21.2%
Draw
13.5%
Stockport County
65.4%
52
Head to Head
Dec 22, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
Stockport
2-1
Notts County
Wootton (7'), Madden (86' pen.)
Croasdale (36'), Byrne (55'), Pye (56'), Richardson (84')
McGoldrick (90+3')
Bostock (76'), Cameron (85')
Mar 15, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 34
Stockport
3-0
Notts County
Madden (28', 71'), Crankshaw (48')
Sarcevic (53'), Madden (83')

Palmer (42'), Francis (52')
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 12
Notts County
2-1
Stockport
Wootton (54'), Vincent (68')
Rawlinson (18'), Wootton (63')
Whitfield (90+3' pen.)
Keane (20'), Hogan (50'), Quigley (60')
Feb 23, 2021 7.45pm
Dec 15, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Notts County
1-0
Stockport
Reeves (35')
Rawlinson (40')

Kitching (45+1'), Palmer (69'), Thomas (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport462711896484892
4MK Dons462391483681578
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster46218177368571
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe461914136965471
7Crawley TownCrawley46217187367670
8BarrowBarrow461815136256669
9Bradford CityBradford461912156159269
10AFC Wimbledon4617141564511365
11Walsall461811176973-465
12Gillingham461810184657-1164
13Harrogate TownHarrogate461712176069-963
14Notts County46187218986361
15Morecambe461710196781-1458
16Tranmere RoversTranmere46176236770-357
17Accrington StanleyAccrington46169216371-857
18Newport CountyNewport46167236276-1455
19Swindon TownSwindon461412207783-654
20Salford City461312216682-1651
21Grimsby Town461116195774-1749
22Colchester UnitedColchester461112235980-2145
RSutton UnitedSutton46915225984-2542
RForest Green RoversForest Green46119264478-3442


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