League Two

League Two | Gameweek 29

Apr 16, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Meadow Lane Stadium

Notts County
2 - 5
Stockport

Langstaff (61'), Crowley (63')
Crowley (32'), Langstaff (71')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Madden (26', 33' pen., 40'), Sarcevic (50'), Pye (84')
Briston (36'), Sarcevic (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Notts County and Stockport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Notts County

All competitions

Last Game: Walsall 1-3 Notts County
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Stockport County

All competitions

Last Game: Stockport 2-0 Morecambe
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 50.69%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 27.55% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.59%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Notts County win was 2-1 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.

Result
Notts County	Draw	Stockport County
27.55% ( -0.4)	21.76% ( -0.14)	50.69% ( 0.54)

Both teams to score 65.41% (

0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.11% (

0.37)

33.88% (

-0.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.26% (

0.42)

55.73% (

-0.42)

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.84% (

-0.07)

24.15% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.53% (

-0.09)

58.47% (

0.1)

Stockport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.24% (

0.31)

13.75% (

-0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.96% (

0.61)

41.04% (

-0.6)

Score Analysis

Notts County 27.55%

Stockport County 50.69%

Draw 21.76%

Notts County	Draw	Stockport County
2-1 @ 6.65% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 4.72% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 3.35% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 3.15% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 2.74% Total : 27.55%	1-1 @ 9.36% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 6.6% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.32% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.41% Total : 21.76%	1-2 @ 9.29% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.59% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 6.54% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 6.14% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 4.36% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 4.32% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 3.05% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 2.16% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 2.14% ( 0.05) 1-5 @ 1.21% ( 0.04) 3-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.85% Total : 50.69%