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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
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Carlisle United
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Chesterfield
Colchester United
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Doncaster Rovers
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Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
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Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Notts County
League Two | Gameweek 29
Apr 16, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Meadow Lane Stadium
Stockport County

Notts County
2 - 5
Stockport

Langstaff (61'), Crowley (63')
Crowley (32'), Langstaff (71')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Madden (26', 33' pen., 40'), Sarcevic (50'), Pye (84')
Briston (36'), Sarcevic (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Notts County and Stockport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Walsall 1-3 Notts County
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Stockport 2-0 Morecambe
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Notts County 1-2 Stockport County

Back-to-back victories will have increased confidence significantly inside the Notts County camp, but the visit of the league leaders will seriously threaten the Magpies' winning run. Stockport are unlikely to take their foot off the gas despite already having promotion wrapped up, and we believe that the League Two title will be theirs on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 50.69%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 27.55% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.59%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Notts County win was 2-1 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.

Result
Notts CountyDrawStockport County
27.55% (-0.399 -0.4) 21.76% (-0.139 -0.14) 50.69% (0.539 0.54)
Both teams to score 65.41% (0.175 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.11% (0.373 0.37)33.88% (-0.373 -0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.26% (0.421 0.42)55.73% (-0.42 -0.42)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.84% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)24.15% (0.067 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.53% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)58.47% (0.096000000000004 0.1)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.24% (0.306 0.31)13.75% (-0.306 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.96% (0.605 0.61)41.04% (-0.604 -0.6)
Score Analysis
    Notts County 27.55%
    Stockport County 50.69%
    Draw 21.76%
Notts CountyDrawStockport County
2-1 @ 6.65% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-0 @ 4.72% (-0.101 -0.1)
2-0 @ 3.35% (-0.079 -0.08)
3-1 @ 3.15% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.13% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.59% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.12% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 27.55%
1-1 @ 9.36% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
2-2 @ 6.6% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 3.32% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-3 @ 2.07% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 21.76%
1-2 @ 9.29% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.59% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-2 @ 6.54% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 6.14% (0.075 0.08)
2-3 @ 4.36% (0.045000000000001 0.05)
0-3 @ 4.32% (0.061000000000001 0.06)
1-4 @ 3.05% (0.071 0.07)
2-4 @ 2.16% (0.046 0.05)
0-4 @ 2.14% (0.053 0.05)
1-5 @ 1.21% (0.041 0.04)
3-4 @ 1.03% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 50.69%

How you voted: Notts County vs Stockport

Notts County
21.2%
Draw
13.5%
Stockport County
65.4%
52
Head to Head
Dec 22, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
Stockport
2-1
Notts County
Wootton (7'), Madden (86' pen.)
Croasdale (36'), Byrne (55'), Pye (56'), Richardson (84')
McGoldrick (90+3')
Bostock (76'), Cameron (85')
Mar 15, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 34
Stockport
3-0
Notts County
Madden (28', 71'), Crankshaw (48')
Sarcevic (53'), Madden (83')

Palmer (42'), Francis (52')
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 12
Notts County
2-1
Stockport
Wootton (54'), Vincent (68')
Rawlinson (18'), Wootton (63')
Whitfield (90+3' pen.)
Keane (20'), Hogan (50'), Quigley (60')
Feb 23, 2021 7.45pm
Dec 15, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Notts County
1-0
Stockport
Reeves (35')
Rawlinson (40')

Kitching (45+1'), Palmer (69'), Thomas (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Accrington StanleyAccrington00000000
2AFC Wimbledon00000000
3BarrowBarrow00000000
4Bradford CityBradford00000000
5Bromley00000000
6Carlisle UnitedCarlisle00000000
7Cheltenham TownCheltenham00000000
8Chesterfield00000000
9Colchester UnitedColchester00000000
10Crewe AlexandraCrewe00000000
11Doncaster RoversDoncaster00000000
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood00000000
13Gillingham00000000
14Grimsby Town00000000
15Harrogate TownHarrogate00000000
16MK Dons00000000
17Morecambe00000000
18Newport CountyNewport00000000
19Notts County00000000
20Port Vale00000000
21Salford City00000000
22Swindon TownSwindon00000000
23Tranmere RoversTranmere00000000
24Walsall00000000


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