Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 39.33%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 38.19% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.54%) and 2-0 (4.81%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 1-2 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.