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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 39.33%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 38.19% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.54%) and 2-0 (4.81%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 1-2 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Notts County | Draw | MK Dons |
| 39.33% ( | 22.47% ( | 38.19% ( |
| Both teams to score 67.47% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.89% ( | 33.11% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.15% ( | 54.85% ( |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.38% ( | 17.61% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.8% ( | 48.2% ( |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.89% ( | 18.11% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.95% ( | 49.05% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Notts County | Draw | MK Dons |
| 2-1 @ 8.22% ( 1-0 @ 5.54% ( 2-0 @ 4.81% ( 3-1 @ 4.76% ( 3-2 @ 4.06% ( 3-0 @ 2.78% ( 4-1 @ 2.07% ( 4-2 @ 1.76% ( 4-0 @ 1.21% ( 4-3 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 3.12% Total : 39.33% | 1-1 @ 9.46% ( 2-2 @ 7.02% ( 0-0 @ 3.19% ( 3-3 @ 2.32% ( Other @ 0.48% Total : 22.47% | 1-2 @ 8.09% ( 0-1 @ 5.45% ( 0-2 @ 4.66% ( 1-3 @ 4.61% ( 2-3 @ 4% ( 0-3 @ 2.65% ( 1-4 @ 1.97% ( 2-4 @ 1.71% 0-4 @ 1.13% ( 3-4 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 2.94% Total : 38.19% |