Accrington Stanley
Barnet
Barrow
Bristol Rovers
Bromley
Cambridge United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crawley Town
Crewe Alexandra
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Newport County
Notts County
Oldham Athletic
Salford City
Shrewsbury Town
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
MK Dons
League Two | Gameweek 41
Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
Stadium mk
Walsall

MK Dons
5 - 0
Walsall

Tezgel (28'), Dean (59' pen., 78'), Gilbey (62'), Tomlinson (74')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gordon (68'), Adegboyega (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between MK Dons and Walsall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stockport 5-0 MK Dons
Saturday, March 23 at 5.15pm in League Two
Last Game: Colchester 1-1 Walsall
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 52.31%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 25.17% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Walsall win was 1-2 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result
MK DonsDrawWalsall
52.31% (-0.067 -0.07)22.51% (0.015000000000001 0.02)25.17% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
Both teams to score 60.25% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.34% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)39.66% (0.032999999999994 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.98% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)62.01% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.73% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)15.27% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.03% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)43.96% (0.064 0.06)
Walsall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.11% (0.018999999999991 0.02)28.89% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.23% (0.023000000000003 0.02)64.76% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 52.31%
    Walsall 25.17%
    Draw 22.51%
MK DonsDrawWalsall
2-1 @ 9.67% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-0 @ 8.29% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 7.79% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.06% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.88% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.76% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.85% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.29% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.77% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 1.07% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 52.31%
1-1 @ 10.29% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.01% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 4.41% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.56% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 22.51%
1-2 @ 6.39% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.48% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.4% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.65% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.49% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 1.41% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 25.17%

How you voted: MK Dons vs Walsall

MK Dons
100%
Draw
0.0%
Walsall
0.0%
12
Head to Head
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Walsall
0-0
MK Dons
McEntee (27'), Hutchinson (41'), Williams (53')
Harrison (24'), Gilbey (66'), Norman (67')
Oct 18, 2022 7pm
Group Stage
Walsall
0-2
MK Dons
Lawrence (62'), Holland (90+3')
Feb 3, 2018 3pm
Oct 17, 2017 7.45pm
Apr 30, 2017 12pm
Walsall
1-4
MK Dons
Oztumer (84')
Muirhead (11'), Reeves (32'), O'Keefe (71'), Barnes (85')