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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 52.31%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 25.17% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Walsall win was 1-2 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.
| Result | ||
| MK Dons | Draw | Walsall |
| 52.31% ( | 22.51% ( | 25.17% ( |
| Both teams to score 60.25% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.34% ( | 39.66% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.98% ( | 62.01% ( |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.73% ( | 15.27% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.03% ( | 43.96% ( |
| Walsall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.11% ( | 28.89% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.23% ( | 64.76% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| MK Dons | Draw | Walsall |
| 2-1 @ 9.67% ( 1-0 @ 8.29% ( 2-0 @ 7.79% ( 3-1 @ 6.06% ( 3-0 @ 4.88% ( 3-2 @ 3.76% ( 4-1 @ 2.85% ( 4-0 @ 2.29% ( 4-2 @ 1.77% ( 5-1 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 3.87% Total : 52.31% | 1-1 @ 10.29% ( 2-2 @ 6.01% ( 0-0 @ 4.41% ( 3-3 @ 1.56% ( Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.51% | 1-2 @ 6.39% ( 0-1 @ 5.48% ( 0-2 @ 3.4% ( 1-3 @ 2.65% ( 2-3 @ 2.49% ( 0-3 @ 1.41% ( Other @ 3.37% Total : 25.17% |