Championship

Championship | Gameweek 46

May 4, 2024 at 12.30pm UK

Bet365 Stadium

Stoke
4 - 0
Bristol City

Cundle (25'), Campbell (45'), Manhoef (45+2', 49')

FT(HT: 3-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stoke City

All competitions

Last Game: Southampton 0-1 Stoke
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bristol City

All competitions

Last Game: Bristol City 2-0 Rotherham
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 41.14%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 31.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.

Result
Stoke City	Draw	Bristol City
41.14% ( -1.49)	27.22% ( 0.59)	31.64% ( 0.9)

Both teams to score 49.42% (

-1.43)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.11% (

-1.99)

55.88% (

1.98)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23% (

-1.65)

76.99% (

1.64)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.27% (

-1.7)

26.72% (

1.69)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.01% (

-2.29)

61.99% (

2.28)

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.44% (

-0.39)

32.55% (

0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.9% (

-0.44)

69.09% (

0.43)

Score Analysis

Stoke City 41.14%

Bristol City 31.64%

Draw 27.21%

Stoke City	Draw	Bristol City
1-0 @ 11.48% ( 0.33) 2-1 @ 8.5% ( -0.26) 2-0 @ 7.58% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 3.74% ( -0.3) 3-0 @ 3.33% ( -0.23) 3-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.2) 4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.17) 4-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.14) Other @ 2.08% Total : 41.14%	1-1 @ 12.88% ( 0.23) 0-0 @ 8.7% ( 0.65) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.2) Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.21%	0-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.63) 1-2 @ 7.23% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 5.48% ( 0.3) 1-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.64% Total : 31.64%