Championship Gameweek 46
Stoke
May 4, 2024 12.30pm
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT Bet365 Stadium
Bristol City
  • Luke Cundle 25' goal
  • Tyrese Campbell 45' goal
  • Million Manhoef 45'+2' goal
  • Million Manhoef 49' goal

Stoke City vs Bristol City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Stoke City

All competitions
Last game
Apr 27, 2024 3.00pm
Southampton 0 - 1 Stoke
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Andre Vidigal

Bristol City

All competitions
Last game
Apr 27, 2024 3.00pm
Bristol City 2 - 0 Rotherham
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Tommy Conway

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 41.14%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 31.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.

Result

Stoke City 41.14% ▼ (-1.50)
Draw 27.22% ▲ (+0.59)
Bristol City 31.64% ▲ (+0.90)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.42% ▼ (-1.44)

Goals

Over 2.5 44.11% ▼ (-2.00)
Under 2.5 55.88% ▲ (+1.99)
Over 3.5 23% ▼ (-1.66)
Under 3.5 76.99% ▲ (+1.64)
Over 4.5 10.12% ▼ (-1.03)
Under 4.5 89.88% ▲ (+1.02)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5 73.27% ▼ (-1.70)
Under 0.5 26.72% ▲ (+1.69)
Over 1.5 38.01% ▼ (-2.29)
Under 1.5 61.99% ▲ (+2.28)

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5 67.44% ▼ (-0.40)
Under 0.5 32.55% ▲ (+0.39)
Over 1.5 30.9% ▼ (-0.45)
Under 1.5 69.09% ▲ (+0.43)

Score analysis

Stoke City 41.14%
Draw 27.21%
Bristol City 31.64%
Stoke City
1-0 @ 11.48% ▲ (+0.34)
2-1 @ 8.5% ▼ (-0.26)
2-0 @ 7.58% ▼ (-0.15)
3-1 @ 3.74% ▼ (-0.31)
3-0 @ 3.33% ▼ (-0.24)
3-2 @ 2.1% ▼ (-0.20)
4-1 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.17)
4-0 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.14)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 41.14%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.88% ▲ (+0.24)
0-0 @ 8.7% ▲ (+0.65)
2-2 @ 4.77% ▼ (-0.20)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.21%
Bristol City
0-1 @ 9.76% ▲ (+0.63)
1-2 @ 7.23% ▲ (+0.06)
0-2 @ 5.48% ▲ (+0.30)
1-3 @ 2.7% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.05% ▲ (+0.10)
2-3 @ 1.78% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 31.64%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 9
Bristol City
Sep 30, 2023 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 4 2
FT Ashton Gate Stadium
Stoke
  • Sam Bell 5' goal
  • Sam Bell 5' goal
  • Nahki Wells 15' goal
  • Nahki Wells 15' goal
  • Andreas Weimann 90'+6' yellowcard
  • Andreas Weimann 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Mehdi Leris 20'
  • goal Mehdi Leris 20'
  • goal Sead Haksabanovic 47'
  • goal Sead Haksabanovic 47'
  • goal Nathan Lowe 89'
  • goal Nathan Lowe 89'
  • yellowcard Junior Tchamadeu 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Junior Tchamadeu 90'+5'
Championship Gameweek 40
Stoke
Apr 7, 2023 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Bet365 Stadium
Bristol City
  • Nick Powell 36' goal
  • goal Zak Vyner 72'
  • goal Anis Mehmeti 85'
Championship Gameweek 23
Bristol City
Dec 17, 2022 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Ashton Gate Stadium
Stoke
  • Nahki Wells 33' goal
  • goal Liam Delap 45'+2'
  • goal Jacob Brown 57'
Championship Gameweek 42
Stoke
Apr 15, 2022 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Bristol City
  • Jacob Brown 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Steven Fletcher 45'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Daniel Bentley 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Joe Williams 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Rob Atkinson 76'
  • yellowcard Chris Martin 80'
  • goal Jay Dasilva 84'
Championship Gameweek 19
Bristol City
Nov 24, 2021 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Stoke
  • Callum O'Dowda 2' yellowcard
  • Tyreeq Bakinson 38' goal
  • Alex Scott 68' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joe Allen 42'
  • yellowcard Josh Tymon 79'
  • redcard Joe Allen 90'+6'
Championship Gameweek 39
Bristol City
Apr 2, 2021 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Ashton Gate Stadium
Stoke
  • Henri Lansbury 14' yellowcard
  • goal Nick Powell 25'
  • yellowcard Jacob Brown 55'
  • goal Steven Fletcher 62'

Form Data

Southampton 0 - 1 Stoke
Stoke 3 - 0 Plymouth
Sheff Weds 1 - 1 Stoke
Swansea 3 - 0 Stoke
Stoke 2 - 2 West Brom
Stoke 1 - 1 Huddersfield
Bristol City 2 - 0 Rotherham
Norwich 1 - 1 Bristol City
Bristol City 1 - 1 Huddersfield
Bristol City 5 - 0 Blackburn
Sunderland 0 - 0 Bristol City
Plymouth 0 - 1 Bristol City