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Championship | Gameweek 43
Apr 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
Hillsborough Stadium
Stoke logo

Sheff Weds
1 - 1
Stoke

Palmer (68')
Johnson (28')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Cundle (76')
Baker (33'), Thompson (60'), Rose (71'), Manhoef (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Sheffield Wednesday and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Weds 2-2 Norwich
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 3-0 Stoke
Wednesday, April 10 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Sheffield Wednesday 1-1 Stoke City

With four games left to guarantee their second-tier status for next season, both teams will be desperate for three points on Saturday, setting up a tight and intriguing encounter. Both boasting similar levels of quality, and unable to afford what would be a damaging defeat, we see a low-scoring draw as the most likely outcome at Hillsborough. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 38.72%. A win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 35.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.33%). The likeliest Sheffield Wednesday win was 1-0 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Sheffield WednesdayDrawStoke City
35.76% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04) 25.52% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 38.72% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Both teams to score 55.83% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.89%48.1% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.73%70.27% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Sheffield Wednesday Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.91% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)26.09% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.85% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)61.15% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.54% (0.021000000000001 0.02)24.46% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.1% (0.033999999999999 0.03)58.9% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Sheffield Wednesday 35.76%
    Stoke City 38.72%
    Draw 25.52%
Sheffield WednesdayDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 8.57% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.11% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.76% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.63% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.58% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.56% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 1.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 35.76%
1-1 @ 12.07%
0-0 @ 6.38%
2-2 @ 5.71%
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.52%
0-1 @ 8.99% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.5% (0.004999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 6.33% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.99% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.97% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.68% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 0.94% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 38.72%

How you voted: Sheff Weds vs Stoke

Sheffield Wednesday
42.9%
Draw
42.9%
Stoke City
14.3%
7
Head to Head
Dec 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 20
Stoke
0-1
Sheff Weds

Burger (10'), McNally (82'), Clark (88')
Musaba (90+1')
Famewo (9'), Johnson (34'), Bannan (90+6'), Musaba (90+5')
Feb 16, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 30
Stoke
1-0
Sheff Weds
Fletcher (83')
Clarke (90+2')

Hutchinson (41')
Nov 28, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 14
Sheff Weds
0-0
Stoke
Shaw (42'), Harris (68'), Bannan (79'), Luongo (86')
Collins (67'), Clucas (86')
Dec 26, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 24
Stoke
3-2
Sheff Weds
McClean (11'), Campbell (93'), Vokes (97')
Fox (67'), Lees (74')
Harris (45'), Bannan (76')
Oct 22, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Sheff Weds
1-0
Stoke
Luongo (43')
Luongo (36'), Hutchinson (90')

Allen (87')
rhs 2.0
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