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Championship | Gameweek 43
Apr 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
Hillsborough Stadium
Stoke logo

Sheff Weds
1 - 1
Stoke

Palmer (68')
Johnson (28')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Cundle (76')
Baker (33'), Thompson (60'), Rose (71'), Manhoef (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Sheffield Wednesday and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Weds 2-2 Norwich
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 3-0 Stoke
Wednesday, April 10 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Sheffield Wednesday 1-1 Stoke City

With four games left to guarantee their second-tier status for next season, both teams will be desperate for three points on Saturday, setting up a tight and intriguing encounter. Both boasting similar levels of quality, and unable to afford what would be a damaging defeat, we see a low-scoring draw as the most likely outcome at Hillsborough. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 38.72%. A win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 35.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.33%). The likeliest Sheffield Wednesday win was 1-0 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Sheffield WednesdayDrawStoke City
35.76% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04) 25.52% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 38.72% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Both teams to score 55.83% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.89%48.1% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.73%70.27% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Sheffield Wednesday Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.91% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)26.09% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.85% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)61.15% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.54% (0.021000000000001 0.02)24.46% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.1% (0.033999999999999 0.03)58.9% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Sheffield Wednesday 35.76%
    Stoke City 38.72%
    Draw 25.52%
Sheffield WednesdayDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 8.57% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.11% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.76% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.63% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.58% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.56% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 1.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 35.76%
1-1 @ 12.07%
0-0 @ 6.38%
2-2 @ 5.71%
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.52%
0-1 @ 8.99% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.5% (0.004999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 6.33% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.99% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.97% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.68% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 0.94% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 38.72%

How you voted: Sheff Weds vs Stoke

Sheffield Wednesday
42.9%
Draw
42.9%
Stoke City
14.3%
7
Head to Head
Dec 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 20
Stoke
0-1
Sheff Weds

Burger (10'), McNally (82'), Clark (88')
Musaba (90+1')
Famewo (9'), Johnson (34'), Bannan (90+6'), Musaba (90+5')
Feb 16, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 30
Stoke
1-0
Sheff Weds
Fletcher (83')
Clarke (90+2')

Hutchinson (41')
Nov 28, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 14
Sheff Weds
0-0
Stoke
Shaw (42'), Harris (68'), Bannan (79'), Luongo (86')
Collins (67'), Clucas (86')
Dec 26, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 24
Stoke
3-2
Sheff Weds
McClean (11'), Campbell (93'), Vokes (97')
Fox (67'), Lees (74')
Harris (45'), Bannan (76')
Oct 22, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Sheff Weds
1-0
Stoke
Luongo (43')
Luongo (36'), Hutchinson (90')

Allen (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester463141189414897
3Leeds UnitedLeeds462791081433890
4Southampton462691187632487
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4621121370472375
6Norwich CityNorwich4621101579641573
7Hull City461913146860870
8Middlesbrough46209177162969
9Coventry CityCoventry4617131670591164
10Preston North EndPreston46189195667-1163
11Bristol City461711185351262
12Cardiff CityCardiff46195225370-1762
13Millwall461611194555-1059
14Swansea CitySwansea461512195965-657
15Watford461317166161056
16Sunderland46168225254-256
17Stoke CityStoke461511204960-1156
18Queens Park RangersQPR461511204758-1156
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn461411216074-1453
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds46158234468-2453
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth461312215970-1151
RBirmingham CityBirmingham461311225065-1550
RHuddersfield TownHuddersfield46918194877-2945
RRotherham UnitedRotherham46512293789-5227


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