Crewe Alexandra
Club Friendlies 3
Jul 23, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
Stoke logo

Crewe
1 - 2
Stoke

Sanders (3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Vidigal (64', 88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between Crewe Alexandra and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Crewe 1-3 Mallorca
Sunday, July 21 at 12pm in Club Friendlies 3

Stoke City

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Cork City 0-5 Stoke
Wednesday, July 17 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 63.36%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 15.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.22%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.9%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 1-0 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Stoke City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Stoke City.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawStoke City
15.8% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)20.84% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)63.36% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 50.57% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.83% (0.033999999999999 0.03)45.17% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.49% (0.033999999999999 0.03)67.51% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.53% (0.0020000000000024 0)41.47% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.03% (0.0040000000000013 0)77.97% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.4% (0.018000000000001 0.02)13.6% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.27% (0.039000000000001 0.04)40.73% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 15.8%
    Stoke City 63.36%
    Draw 20.84%
Crewe AlexandraDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 4.96% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-1 @ 4.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 2.19% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 1.28% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.28%
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 15.8%
1-1 @ 9.9% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.64% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.35% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 20.84%
0-1 @ 11.25% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 11.22%
1-2 @ 9.88%
0-3 @ 7.46% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 6.57% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-4 @ 3.72% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 3.28% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.89% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-5 @ 1.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.44% (0.002 0)
1-5 @ 1.31% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 63.36%

How you voted: Crewe vs Stoke

Crewe Alexandra
30.0%
Draw
5.0%
Stoke City
65.0%
20
Head to Head
Jul 20, 2021 7pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Crewe
2-3
Stoke
Lundstram (58'), Dale (70')
Batth (2'), Fletcher (27'), Powell (44')
> Preview
Jul 30, 2017 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Crewe
3-1
Stoke
Cooper (25'), Porter (39'), Nolan (43')
Waddington (86')
Nov 19, 2005 3pm
Crewe
1-2
Stoke
Johnson (90')
Tonkin (51')
Gallagher (89')
Gallagher (37'), Halls (88')
Oct 18, 2005 3pm
Stoke
2-0
Crewe
Duberry (64'), Bangoura (41')
Duberry (90')

Jones (70')
Apr 23, 2005 3pm
Crewe
0-2
Stoke
Neal (79'), Noel-Williams (89')
Henry (57')