League Two

May 19, 2024 at 1pm UK

The People's Pension Stadium

Crawley
2 - 0
Crewe

Orsi (41'), Kelly (85')
Addai (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Rowe (19'), Adebisi (59'), Tabiner (66')

The Match

Match Report

Crawley Town beat Crewe Alexandra 2-0 in the League Two playoff final at Wembley Stadium to earn a place in League One for the first time since 2015.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League Two clash between Crawley Town and Crewe Alexandra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

All competitions

Last Game: MK Dons 1-5 Crawley
Saturday, May 11 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions

Last Game: Doncaster 0-2 Crewe (3-4 pen.)
Friday, May 10 at 8pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 42.53%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 32.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Crawley Town would win this match.

Result
Crawley Town	Draw	Crewe Alexandra
42.53% ( 1.05)	24.87% ( -0.12)	32.61% ( -0.93)

Both teams to score 57.35% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.18% (

0.28)

45.82% (

-0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.87% (

0.27)

68.13% (

-0.27)

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.44% (

0.62)

21.56% (

-0.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.36% (

0.94)

54.64% (

-0.94)

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.11% (

-0.43)

26.89% (

0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.8% (

-0.57)

62.21% (

0.57)

Score Analysis

Crawley Town 42.53%

Crewe Alexandra 32.61%

Draw 24.86%

Crawley Town	Draw	Crewe Alexandra
2-1 @ 8.96% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 8.9% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 4.58% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 3.01% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.51% Total : 42.53%	1-1 @ 11.68% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.8% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.86%	1-2 @ 7.67% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 7.62% ( -0.19) 0-2 @ 5% ( -0.19) 1-3 @ 3.36% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.09% Total : 32.61%