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Sutton United
League Two | Gameweek 45
Apr 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Borough Sports Ground
Crawley Town

Sutton
2 - 2
Crawley

Lakin (48'), Sanderson (79')
Hart (17'), Sowunmi (77')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kelly (42'), Lolas (90+1')
Kelly (90+8')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Sutton United and Crawley Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Harrogate 2-2 Sutton
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crawley 1-1 Barrow
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 41.64%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 34.96% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.89%) and 2-0 (5.76%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
Sutton UnitedDrawCrawley Town
41.64% (0.024999999999999 0.02)23.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)34.96% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 63.42% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.81% (0.024000000000001 0.02)38.19% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.53% (0.023000000000003 0.02)60.46% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.24% (0.021000000000001 0.02)18.76% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.84% (0.032000000000004 0.03)50.16% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.06% (0.00099999999999056 0)21.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.79% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)55.21% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Score Analysis
    Sutton United 41.64%
    Crawley Town 34.96%
    Draw 23.39%
Sutton UnitedDrawCrawley Town
2-1 @ 8.74% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-0 @ 6.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 5.76% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 4.88% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-2 @ 3.7% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 3.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2.04% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.55% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.34% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 41.64%
1-1 @ 10.44% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.63% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-0 @ 4.12% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 1.87% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 23.39%
1-2 @ 7.93% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 6.24% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.74% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 4.01% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 3.35%
0-3 @ 2.4% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 1.52% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.27%
0-4 @ 0.91% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 34.96%

Head to Head
Oct 10, 2023 7.45pm
Group Stage
Sutton
0-0
Crawley
(Aggregate 0-0 | Sutton win 5-4 on penalties)
Angol (71')
Khaleel (12'), Roles (76')
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
Crawley
3-0
Sutton
Campbell (6'), Maguire (53'), Orsi (66')
Kelly (86')

O'Brien (65'), Eastmond (77'), Goodliffe (90+2')
Mar 7, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 28
Sutton
3-0
Crawley
Bugiel (40', 47'), Angol (88')
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 23
Crawley
1-2
Sutton
Oteh (90+5')
Kizzi (61'), Milsom (70' pen.)
Apr 26, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 40
Sutton
3-0
Crawley
Smith (4', 86'), Bennett (7')
Barden (35')

Davies (34'), Oteh (52'), Nadesan (90+2')
rhs 2.0


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