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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 41.64%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 34.96% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.89%) and 2-0 (5.76%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sutton United | Draw | Crawley Town |
| 41.64% ( | 23.39% ( | 34.96% ( |
| Both teams to score 63.42% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.81% ( | 38.19% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.53% ( | 60.46% ( |
| Sutton United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.24% ( | 18.76% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.84% ( | 50.16% ( |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.06% ( | 21.93% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.79% ( | 55.21% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sutton United | Draw | Crawley Town |
| 2-1 @ 8.74% ( 1-0 @ 6.89% ( 2-0 @ 5.76% ( 3-1 @ 4.88% ( 3-2 @ 3.7% ( 3-0 @ 3.21% ( 4-1 @ 2.04% ( 4-2 @ 1.55% ( 4-0 @ 1.34% ( Other @ 3.53% Total : 41.64% | 1-1 @ 10.44% ( 2-2 @ 6.63% ( 0-0 @ 4.12% ( 3-3 @ 1.87% ( Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.39% | 1-2 @ 7.93% ( 0-1 @ 6.24% ( 0-2 @ 4.74% ( 1-3 @ 4.01% ( 2-3 @ 3.35% 0-3 @ 2.4% ( 1-4 @ 1.52% ( 2-4 @ 1.27% 0-4 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 2.6% Total : 34.96% |