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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 44.38%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 32.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.16%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 1-2 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crawley Town | Draw | Colchester United |
| 44.38% ( | 23.24% ( | 32.38% ( |
| Both teams to score 63.09% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.75% ( | 38.25% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.47% ( | 60.53% ( |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.35% ( | 17.65% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.73% ( | 48.27% ( |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.62% ( | 23.38% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.64% ( | 57.36% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Crawley Town | Draw | Colchester United |
| 2-1 @ 9.02% ( 1-0 @ 7.16% ( 2-0 @ 6.21% ( 3-1 @ 5.21% ( 3-2 @ 3.79% ( 3-0 @ 3.59% ( 4-1 @ 2.26% ( 4-2 @ 1.64% ( 4-0 @ 1.56% ( Other @ 3.94% Total : 44.38% | 1-1 @ 10.4% ( 2-2 @ 6.55% ( 0-0 @ 4.13% ( 3-3 @ 1.84% ( Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.24% | 1-2 @ 7.56% ( 0-1 @ 6% ( 0-2 @ 4.36% ( 1-3 @ 3.66% ( 2-3 @ 3.18% ( 0-3 @ 2.11% 1-4 @ 1.33% ( 2-4 @ 1.15% ( Other @ 3.04% Total : 32.38% |