/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fwrelog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fcrawlog.png)
-
Ryan Barnett
21'
-
Paul Mullin
23'
-
Andy Cannon
76'
-
Paul Mullin
82'
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Luke Bolton
90'+5'
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Laurence Maguire
31'
-
Klaidi Lolas
90'+4'
Wrexham vs Crawley Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F13%2Fwrexham.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 52.95%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 24.08% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (6.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
Result
Wrexham
52.95%
▲
(+1.40)
Draw
22.98%
▼
(-0.57)
Crawley Town
24.08%
▼
(-0.84)
Both Teams to Score:
57.41%
▲
(+0.96)
Goals
Over 2.5
57.13%
▲
(+1.70)
Under 2.5
42.87%
▼
(-1.71)
Over 3.5
34.73%
▲
(+1.67)
Under 3.5
65.27%
▼
(-1.67)
Over 4.5
18.07%
▲
(+1.23)
Under 4.5
81.93%
▼
(-1.23)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5
83.81%
▲
(+1.13)
Under 0.5
16.19%
▼
(-1.13)
Over 1.5
54.33%
▲
(+2.02)
Under 1.5
45.67%
▼
(-2.02)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5
68.5%
▲
(+0.23)
Under 0.5
31.5%
▼
(-0.23)
Over 1.5
32.11%
▲
(+0.26)
Under 1.5
67.89%
▼
(-0.27)
Score analysis
Wrexham
52.95%
Draw
22.97%
Crawley Town
24.08%
Wrexham
2-1
@
9.77%
▲
(+0.07)
1-0 @ 9.29% ▼ (-0.35)
2-0 @ 8.45% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.93% ▲ (+0.26)
3-0 @ 5.13% ▲ (+0.20)
3-2 @ 3.42% ▲ (+0.17)
4-1 @ 2.7% ▲ (+0.22)
4-0 @ 2.34% ▲ (+0.18)
4-2 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.14)
Other @ 4.37%
Total : 52.95%
1-0 @ 9.29% ▼ (-0.35)
2-0 @ 8.45% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.93% ▲ (+0.26)
3-0 @ 5.13% ▲ (+0.20)
3-2 @ 3.42% ▲ (+0.17)
4-1 @ 2.7% ▲ (+0.22)
4-0 @ 2.34% ▲ (+0.18)
4-2 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.14)
Other @ 4.37%
Total : 52.95%
Draw
1-1
@
10.72%
▼
(-0.34)
2-2 @ 5.64% ▲ (+0.08)
0-0 @ 5.1% ▼ (-0.40)
3-3 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.97%
2-2 @ 5.64% ▲ (+0.08)
0-0 @ 5.1% ▼ (-0.40)
3-3 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.97%
Crawley Town
1-2
@
6.2%
▼
(-0.16)
0-1 @ 5.89% ▼ (-0.42)
0-2 @ 3.4% ▼ (-0.22)
1-3 @ 2.39% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.17% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 24.08%
0-1 @ 5.89% ▼ (-0.42)
0-2 @ 3.4% ▼ (-0.22)
1-3 @ 2.39% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.17% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 24.08%
Andy Cannon
66'