League Two

League Two | Gameweek 30

Apr 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Poolfoot Farm

Wrexham
4 - 1
Crawley

Barnett (21'), Mullin (23', 82'), Cannon (76')
Bolton (90+5')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Lolas (90+4')
Maguire (31')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Wrexham and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wrexham

All competitions

Last Game: Colchester 1-2 Wrexham
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Crawley Town

All competitions

Last Game: Mansfield 1-4 Crawley
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 52.95%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 24.08% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (6.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
Wrexham	Draw	Crawley Town
52.95% ( 1.39)	22.98% ( -0.56)	24.08% ( -0.83)

Both teams to score 57.41% (

0.96)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.13% (

1.7)

42.87% (

-1.7)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.73% (

1.67)

65.27% (

-1.67)

Wrexham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.81% (

1.13)

16.19% (

-1.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.33% (

2.01)

45.67% (

-2.01)

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.5% (

0.22)

31.5% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.11% (

0.26)

67.89% (

-0.26)

Score Analysis

Wrexham 52.95%

Crawley Town 24.08%

Draw 22.97%

Wrexham	Draw	Crawley Town
2-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 9.29% ( -0.35) 2-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.93% ( 0.26) 3-0 @ 5.13% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 3.42% ( 0.17) 4-1 @ 2.7% ( 0.21) 4-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.17) 4-2 @ 1.56% ( 0.13) 5-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.11) Other @ 3.39% Total : 52.95%	1-1 @ 10.72% ( -0.34) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 5.1% ( -0.39) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.97%	1-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.15) 0-1 @ 5.89% ( -0.42) 0-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.22) 1-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.72% Total : 24.08%