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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 61.49%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 19.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.03%) and 3-1 (7.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.47%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 1-2 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Crawley Town |
| 61.49% ( | 19.43% ( | 19.08% ( |
| Both teams to score 62.63% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.35% ( | 32.65% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.68% ( | 54.32% ( |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.68% ( | 10.32% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.24% ( | 33.76% ( |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.84% ( | 30.16% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.68% ( | 66.31% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Crawley Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.62% 2-0 @ 8.03% ( 3-1 @ 7.28% ( 1-0 @ 7.07% ( 3-0 @ 6.08% ( 3-2 @ 4.37% 4-1 @ 4.14% ( 4-0 @ 3.45% ( 4-2 @ 2.48% 5-1 @ 1.88% ( 5-0 @ 1.57% ( 5-2 @ 1.13% 4-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 3.43% Total : 61.49% | 1-1 @ 8.47% ( 2-2 @ 5.77% ( 0-0 @ 3.11% 3-3 @ 1.74% ( Other @ 0.33% Total : 19.43% | 1-2 @ 5.08% ( 0-1 @ 3.73% 2-3 @ 2.3% ( 0-2 @ 2.24% ( 1-3 @ 2.03% ( Other @ 3.7% Total : 19.08% |