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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 38.46%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 37.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.44%) and 2-0 (5.66%). The likeliest Barrow win was 1-2 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crawley Town | Draw | Barrow |
| 38.46% | 24.21% | 37.32% |
| Both teams to score 60.67% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.1% ( | 41.9% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.7% | 64.3% |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.18% ( | 21.82% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.96% ( | 55.04% |
| Barrow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.6% | 22.4% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.1% | 55.91% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Crawley Town | Draw | Barrow |
| 2-1 @ 8.47% 1-0 @ 7.44% 2-0 @ 5.66% 3-1 @ 4.3% 3-2 @ 3.22% 3-0 @ 2.87% ( 4-1 @ 1.64% 4-2 @ 1.22% 4-0 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.55% Total : 38.47% | 1-1 @ 11.13% 2-2 @ 6.34% 0-0 @ 4.89% 3-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.21% | 1-2 @ 8.33% 0-1 @ 7.31% 0-2 @ 5.47% 1-3 @ 4.15% 2-3 @ 3.16% 0-3 @ 2.73% 1-4 @ 1.55% 2-4 @ 1.18% 0-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.41% Total : 37.32% |