/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fmorlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fcrelog.png)
-
Yann Songo'o
90'+5'
-
Elliott Nevitt
70'
-
Lewis Leigh
89'
Morecambe vs Crewe Alexandra - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F09%2Fmorecambe.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 41.6%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Crewe Alexandra in this match.
Result
Morecambe
32.5%
▲
(+0.01)
Draw
25.89%
▲
(+0.01)
Crewe Alexandra
41.6%
▼
(-0.01)
Both Teams to Score:
53.86%
Goals
Over 2.5
49.67%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 2.5
50.33%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 3.5
27.72%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 3.5
72.28%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 4.5
13.13%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 4.5
86.87%
▲
(+0.01)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5
70.83%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
29.17%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
34.89%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
65.11%
▲
(+0.01)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5
76.03%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
23.97%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
41.8%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
58.2%
▲
(+0.01)
Score analysis
Morecambe
32.5%
Draw
25.89%
Crewe Alexandra
41.6%
Morecambe
1-0
@
8.61%
▲
(+0.01)
2-1 @ 7.58% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.31% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.11%
3-2 @ 2.22%
3-0 @ 2.18%
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 32.5%
2-1 @ 7.58% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.31% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.11%
3-2 @ 2.22%
3-0 @ 2.18%
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 32.5%
Draw
1-1
@
12.3%
0-0 @ 6.99% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.41%
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.89%
0-0 @ 6.99% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.41%
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.89%
Crewe Alexandra
0-1
@
9.99%
▲
(+0.01)
1-2 @ 8.79% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 7.13%
1-3 @ 4.19%
0-3 @ 3.4% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.58%
1-4 @ 1.49% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.21%
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 41.6%
1-2 @ 8.79% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 7.13%
1-3 @ 4.19%
0-3 @ 3.4% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.58%
1-4 @ 1.49% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.21%
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 41.6%