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Championship header 2

League Two

Morecambe
League Two | Gameweek 18
Apr 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
Crewe Alexandra

Morecambe
0 - 1
Crewe


Songo'o (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Nevitt (70')
Leigh (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Morecambe and Crewe Alexandra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Morecambe

All competitions
Last Game: Morecambe 0-3 Doncaster
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League Two

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
Last Game: Accrington 0-0 Crewe
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 41.6%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Crewe Alexandra in this match.

Result
MorecambeDrawCrewe Alexandra
32.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)25.89% (0.0030000000000001 0)41.6% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Both teams to score 53.86%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)50.33% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.72% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)72.28% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.83% (0.0010000000000048 0)29.17% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.89% (0.00099999999999767 0)65.11% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.03% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)23.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.8% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)58.2% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 32.5%
    Crewe Alexandra 41.6%
    Draw 25.89%
MorecambeDrawCrewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 8.61% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 7.58% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 5.31% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 3.11%
3-2 @ 2.22%
3-0 @ 2.18%
4-1 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 32.5%
1-1 @ 12.3%
0-0 @ 6.99% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 5.41%
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.89%
0-1 @ 9.99% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 8.79% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 7.13%
1-3 @ 4.19%
0-3 @ 3.4% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.58%
1-4 @ 1.49% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.21%
2-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 41.6%

How you voted: Morecambe vs Crewe

Morecambe
28.0%
Draw
36.0%
Crewe Alexandra
36.0%
25
Head to Head
Mar 2, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 36
Crewe
2-3
Morecambe
Nevitt (18'), Tracey (49')
Adebisi (25'), Demetriou (58')
Adams (69'), Slew (74'), Rawson (83')
Stokes (58'), Senior (68'), Hiwula (72')
Dec 29, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Morecambe
1-2
Crewe
Leigh (36')
Porter (52'), Murphy (58')
Adebisi (42'), Murphy (59')
> Preview
Sep 21, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Crewe
1-3
Morecambe
Mandron (49')
Phillips (8'), Gnahoua (28', 85')
Cooney (40'), McLoughlin (79'), Stockton (80')
> Preview
Feb 29, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 36
Morecambe
1-1
Crewe
Wildig (68')
Wildig (55')
Phillips (90')
Ng (47')
Nov 23, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 19
Crewe
5-0
Morecambe
Finney (22', 90'), Lowery (31'), Kirk (38'), Wintle (58')

Lavelle (34')