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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 39.54%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 35.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.92%) and 0-2 (6.01%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 2-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Doncaster Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Morecambe | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
| 35.95% ( | 24.5% ( | 39.54% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.49% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.61% ( | 43.39% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.21% ( | 65.78% ( |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.21% ( | 23.79% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.04% ( | 57.95% ( |
| Doncaster Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.06% ( | 21.94% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.78% ( | 55.22% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Morecambe | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
| 2-1 @ 8.16% ( 1-0 @ 7.5% 2-0 @ 5.38% 3-1 @ 3.91% ( 3-2 @ 2.96% ( 3-0 @ 2.58% ( 4-1 @ 1.4% ( 4-2 @ 1.06% ( 4-0 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 2.08% Total : 35.95% | 1-1 @ 11.36% 2-2 @ 6.19% ( 0-0 @ 5.22% ( 3-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.49% | 1-2 @ 8.62% 0-1 @ 7.92% ( 0-2 @ 6.01% ( 1-3 @ 4.36% ( 2-3 @ 3.13% 0-3 @ 3.04% 1-4 @ 1.65% 2-4 @ 1.19% 0-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.48% Total : 39.54% |