League Two

League Two | Gameweek 40

Mar 23, 2024 at 3pm UK

Mazuma Stadium

Morecambe
2 - 3
Gillingham

Slew (11'), Brown (64')
Brown (23'), Adams (61'), Slew (74'), Khumbeni (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Hawkins (18'), Dieng (73'), Mahoney (86')
Malone (83'), Dieng (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Morecambe and Gillingham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Morecambe

All competitions

Last Game: Salford City 3-1 Morecambe
Sunday, March 17 at 2pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Gillingham

All competitions

Last Game: Gillingham 1-1 Grimsby Town
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 42.03%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 30.95% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gillingham would win this match.

Result
Morecambe	Draw	Gillingham
30.95% ( 0.01)	27.01% ( -0.01)	42.03% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 49.76% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.68% (

0.02)

55.32% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.46% (

0.01)

76.53% (

-0.02)

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.24% (

0.01)

32.76% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.68% (

0.02)

69.32% (

-0.02)

Gillingham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.01% (

0.01)

25.99% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.99% (

0.01)

61.01% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Morecambe 30.95%

Gillingham 42.03%

Draw 27.01%

Morecambe	Draw	Gillingham
1-0 @ 9.5% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.14% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.3% 3-1 @ 2.66% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.97% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.79% ( 0) Other @ 2.59% Total : 30.95%	1-1 @ 12.8% 0-0 @ 8.51% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.81% ( 0) Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.01%	0-1 @ 11.47% 1-2 @ 8.63% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.73% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.88% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.47% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.31% 0-4 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.22% Total : 42.03%