/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fcrawlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fmkdlog.png)
-
Liam Kelly
5'
-
Jay Williams
45'+1'
-
Laurence Maguire
51'
-
Ronan Darcy
65'
-
Dion Conroy
66'
-
Kellan Gordon
90'+3'
-
Joe Tomlinson
41'
-
Lewis Bate
45'
-
Daniel Harvie
57'
Crawley Town vs MK Dons - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F29%2Fscott-lindsey.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 40.86%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 35.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.89%) and 0-2 (5.68%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 2-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
Result
Crawley Town
35.65%
▲
(+0.01)
Draw
23.49%
▼
(-0.01)
MK Dons
40.86%
▲
(+0.01)
Both Teams to Score:
63.21%
▲
(+0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5
61.48%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 2.5
38.52%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 3.5
39.19%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 3.5
60.81%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 4.5
21.49%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 4.5
78.51%
▼
(-0.02)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5
78.27%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 0.5
21.72%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
45.11%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 1.5
54.89%
▼
(-0.02)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5
80.76%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 0.5
19.24%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 1.5
49.05%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 1.5
50.95%
▼
(-0.02)
Score analysis
Crawley Town
35.65%
Draw
23.48%
MK Dons
40.86%
Crawley Town
2-1
@
8.03%
1-0 @ 6.38% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.87% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.09% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.37% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.48%
4-1 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.29% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 35.65%
1-0 @ 6.38% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.87% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.09% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.37% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.48%
4-1 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.29% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 35.65%
Draw
1-1
@
10.51%
▼
(-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.62% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.18% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.85% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.48%
2-2 @ 6.62% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.18% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.85% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.48%
MK Dons
1-2
@
8.67%
▼
(-0.01)
0-1 @ 6.89% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.68% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.76% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.64% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.12%
1-4 @ 1.96% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.5% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.29%
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 40.86%
0-1 @ 6.89% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.68% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.76% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.64% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.12%
1-4 @ 1.96% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.5% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.29%
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 40.86%
Laurence Maguire
85'