League Two Gameweek 46
Apr 27, 2024 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 4 0
FT The People's Pension Stadium
  • Danilo Orsi 24' goal
  • Danilo Orsi 24' goal
  • Klaidi Lolos 34' goal
  • Klaidi Lolos 34' goal

Crawley Town vs Grimsby Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

All competitions
Last game
Apr 20, 2024 3.00pm
Sutton 2 - 2 Crawley
Goals scored
83
Top scorer
Danilo Orsi

Grimsby Town

All competitions
Last game
Apr 20, 2024 3.00pm
Grimsby Town 2 - 0 Swindon
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Danny Rose

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 39.7%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 36.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.43%) and 2-0 (5.8%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-2 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Crawley Town would win this match.

Result

Crawley Town 39.7% (+0.07)
Draw 24.06% (-0.01)
Grimsby Town 36.23% (-0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.13% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.73% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 41.27% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 36.33%
Under 3.5 63.67% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 19.27% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 80.73%

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5 79.06% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 20.94% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 46.31% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 53.68% (-0.06)

Grimsby Town Goals

Over 0.5 77.32% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 22.68% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 43.67% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 56.33% (+0.06)

Score analysis

Crawley Town 39.7%
Draw 24.06%
Grimsby Town 36.23%
Crawley Town
2-1 @ 8.61% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.43% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.8% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.49% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.33% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.03% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.75% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.3% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.18% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 39.7%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.01%
2-2 @ 6.39% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.75%
3-3 @ 1.65%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 24.06%
Grimsby Town
1-2 @ 8.17% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 7.05% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.23% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 4.04% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.16% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.59% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.5% (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.17% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 36.23%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 9
Sep 23, 2023 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 2 2
FT Blundell Park
  • Gavan Holohan 24' goal
  • Abo Eisa 30' goal
  • Kamil Conteh 38' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Laurence Maguire 17'
  • goal Liam Kelly 32'
  • goal Ronan Darcy 35'
  • goal Danilo Orsi 90'+6'
League Two Gameweek 26
Mar 28, 2023 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT The People's Pension Stadium
  • Dom Telford 87' goal
  • goal Harry Clifton 42'
League Two Gameweek 14
Oct 8, 2022 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Blundell Park
  • Anthony Glennon 4' goal
  • Gavan Holohan 52' goal
  • Ryan Taylor 85' goal
League Two Gameweek 31
Feb 23, 2021 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Blundell Park
  • Filipe Morais 21' goal
  • Joe Bunney 69' yellowcard
  • Joe Adams 70' yellowcard
  • Joe Adams 79' goal
  • Elliott Hewitt 85' yellowcard
  • 88' yellowcard
  • Joe Bunney 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Joe Bunney 90'+3' redcard
  • goal Jack Powell 30'
  • yellowcard Josh Wright 32'
  • yellowcard Jake Hessenthaler 90'
League Two Gameweek 14
Nov 24, 2020 7.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT The People's Pension Stadium
  • Max Watters 4' goal
  • Jack Powell 78' yellowcard
  • Max Watters 80' yellowcard
  • goal Matt Green 35'
  • goal Max Wright 51'
  • yellowcard Elliott Hewitt 80'
League Two Gameweek 29
Jan 25, 2020 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Ollie Palmer 16' goal
  • Ashley Nadesan 58' yellowcard
  • Ollie Palmer 69' goal
  • Ashley Nadesan 77' goal
  • Josh Doherty 85' yellowcard
  • goal Elliott Whitehouse 21'
  • goal James Hanson 32'