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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 39.36%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 35.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 1-0 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Colchester United | Draw | Grimsby Town |
| 35.25% ( | 25.39% ( | 39.36% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.21% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.42% ( | 47.58% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.22% ( | 69.78% ( |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.85% ( | 26.15% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.78% ( | 61.22% ( |
| Grimsby Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.11% ( | 23.89% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.91% ( | 58.09% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Colchester United | Draw | Grimsby Town |
| 1-0 @ 8.38% ( 2-1 @ 8.05% ( 2-0 @ 5.62% ( 3-1 @ 3.6% ( 3-2 @ 2.58% ( 3-0 @ 2.51% ( 4-1 @ 1.21% ( Other @ 3.31% Total : 35.25% | 1-1 @ 11.99% ( 0-0 @ 6.25% ( 2-2 @ 5.76% ( 3-3 @ 1.23% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.39% | 0-1 @ 8.94% ( 1-2 @ 8.59% ( 0-2 @ 6.4% ( 1-3 @ 4.1% ( 0-3 @ 3.06% ( 2-3 @ 2.75% ( 1-4 @ 1.47% ( 0-4 @ 1.09% ( 2-4 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 1.98% Total : 39.36% |