League Two

League Two | Gameweek 29

Apr 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

CNG Stadium

Harrogate
1 - 0
Grimsby Town

Thomson (49')
Abu (83')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Hume (79'), Artell (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Harrogate Town and Grimsby Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Harrogate Town

All competitions

Last Game: Notts County 3-0 Harrogate
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Grimsby Town

All competitions

Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-0 Newport
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 39.52%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 35.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-2 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Harrogate Town would win this match.

Result
Harrogate Town	Draw	Grimsby Town
39.52% ( 0.08)	24.94% ( 0.02)	35.54% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 57.85% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.51% (

-0.14)

45.48% (

0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.18% (

-0.13)

67.81% (

0.13)

Harrogate Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.12% (

-0.02)

22.87% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.38% (

-0.03)

56.61% (

0.02)

Grimsby Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75% (

-0.13)

24.99% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.35% (

-0.18)

59.64% (

0.17)

Score Analysis

Harrogate Town 39.52%

Grimsby Town 35.54%

Draw 24.93%

Harrogate Town	Draw	Grimsby Town
2-1 @ 8.63% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.43% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.22% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.24% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.06% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.56% 4-0 @ 1.13% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 2.22% Total : 39.52%	1-1 @ 11.69% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.93%	1-2 @ 8.11% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.75% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.7% Total : 35.54%