League Two Gameweek 29
Apr 9, 2024 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT CNG Stadium
  • George Thomson 49' goal
  • Derrick Abu 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Denver Hume 79'
  • yellowcard David Artell 80'

Harrogate Town vs Grimsby Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Harrogate Town

All competitions
Last game
Apr 6, 2024 3.00pm
Notts County 3 - 0 Harrogate
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
George Thomson

Grimsby Town

All competitions
Last game
Apr 6, 2024 3.00pm
Grimsby Town 1 - 0 Newport
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Danny Rose

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 39.52%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 35.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-2 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Harrogate Town would win this match.

Result

Harrogate Town 39.52% (+0.09)
Draw 24.94% (+0.03)
Grimsby Town 35.54% (-0.12)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.85% (-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.51% (-0.14)
Under 2.5 45.48% (+0.14)
Over 3.5 32.18% (-0.14)
Under 3.5 67.81% (+0.13)
Over 4.5 16.2% (-0.10)
Under 4.5 83.79% (+0.10)

Harrogate Town Goals

Over 0.5 77.12% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 22.87% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 43.38% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 56.61% (+0.02)

Grimsby Town Goals

Over 0.5 75% (-0.13)
Under 0.5 24.99% (+0.13)
Over 1.5 40.35% (-0.18)
Under 1.5 59.64% (+0.18)

Score analysis

Harrogate Town 39.52%
Draw 24.93%
Grimsby Town 35.54%
Harrogate Town
2-1 @ 8.63% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 8.43% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 6.22% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.24% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.06% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.94% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.56%
4-0 @ 1.13% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 39.52%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.69% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.98% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.72% (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.36% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.93%
Grimsby Town
1-2 @ 8.11% (-0.02)
0-1 @ 7.93% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 5.5% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.75% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.76% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.54% (-0.02)
1-4 @ 1.3% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 35.54%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 23
Dec 23, 2023 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Blundell Park
  • David Artell 0' yellowcard
  • Kieran Green 90'+1' goal
  • Anthony Glennon 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Matty Foulds 41'
  • goal Matty Foulds 41'
  • goal Abraham Odoh 72'
  • yellowcard Josh March 90'+4'
League Two Gameweek 28
Feb 21, 2023 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Blundell Park
League Two Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2022 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT CNG Stadium
  • Luke Armstrong 12' goal
  • Luke Armstrong 76' goal
  • Max Crocombe 90'+1' goal
  • goal Otis Khan 29'
  • goal Harry Clifton 49'
League Two Gameweek 32
Feb 27, 2021 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT CNG Stadium
  • Mark Beck 77' goal
  • yellowcard Jay Matete 16'
League Two Gameweek 7
Oct 20, 2020 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT Blundell Park
  • James Tilley 26' goal
  • Matthew Pollock 45' yellowcard
  • Luke Hendrie 48' yellowcard
  • Danny Preston 56' yellowcard
  • James Tilley 61' yellowcard
  • Harry Clifton 70' yellowcard
  • goal Jack Muldoon 25'
  • yellowcard George Thomson 42'
  • goal Jack Muldoon 43'
  • yellowcard Lloyd Kerry 73'
EFL Trophy
Sep 8, 2020 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
ET Blundell Park
  • Montel Gibson 36' goal
  • L 74' goal
  • Ludvig Ohman 74' yellowcard
  • Terry Taylor 80' yellowcard
  • Evan Khouri 90' redcard
  • yellowcard Kevin Lokko 33'
  • yellowcard William Smith 65'
  • goal Brendan Kiernan 81'
  • goal Kevin Lokko 86'