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Harrogate Town
League Two | Gameweek 42
Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
CNG Stadium
Gillingham

Harrogate
5 - 1
Gillingham

O'Connor (60'), Daly (68', 70'), Muldoon (90+3'), Odoh (90+5')
Dooley (15'), Dooley (15'), March (55'), Sutton (72')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Lapslie (41', 41')
Hutton (59'), Andrews (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Harrogate Town and Gillingham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gillingham 0-0 Crewe
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 44%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Harrogate TownDrawGillingham
30.76% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)25.24% (-0.004999999999999 -0)44% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Both teams to score 55.27% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.83% (0.024000000000001 0.02)48.16% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.68% (0.020999999999997 0.02)70.32% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.75% (0.01700000000001 0.02)29.25% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.79% (0.021999999999998 0.02)65.21% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.12% (0.007000000000005 0.01)21.87% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.88% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)55.12% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Harrogate Town 30.76%
    Gillingham 44%
    Draw 25.24%
Harrogate TownDrawGillingham
1-0 @ 7.87% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-1 @ 7.35% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 4.83%
3-1 @ 3.01% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2.29% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 1.98% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 30.76%
1-1 @ 11.95%
0-0 @ 6.4% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.58% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-3 @ 1.16% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.24%
0-1 @ 9.72% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.08%
0-2 @ 7.39% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 4.6% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 3.74% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.83% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.75% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.42% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.08% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 44%

How you voted: Harrogate vs Gillingham

Harrogate Town
16.7%
Draw
50.0%
Gillingham
33.3%
6
Head to Head
Sep 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 7
Gillingham
1-0
Harrogate
Williams (90+4')
Williams (35'), Williams (59'), Masterson (64')

Ramsay (61')
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Gillingham
0-2
Harrogate

Adelakun (45'), Wright (53'), Baggott (69'), Reeves (71'), Lee (87')
Daly (26'), Pattison (86')
Mattock (5'), Pattison (34'), Ramsay (85')