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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 44%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Gillingham |
| 30.76% ( | 25.24% ( | 44% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.27% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.83% ( | 48.16% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.68% ( | 70.32% ( |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.75% ( | 29.25% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.79% ( | 65.21% ( |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.12% ( | 21.87% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.88% ( | 55.12% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Gillingham |
| 1-0 @ 7.87% ( 2-1 @ 7.35% ( 2-0 @ 4.83% 3-1 @ 3.01% ( 3-2 @ 2.29% ( 3-0 @ 1.98% ( 4-1 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 2.51% Total : 30.76% | 1-1 @ 11.95% 0-0 @ 6.4% ( 2-2 @ 5.58% ( 3-3 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.24% | 0-1 @ 9.72% ( 1-2 @ 9.08% 0-2 @ 7.39% ( 1-3 @ 4.6% ( 0-3 @ 3.74% ( 2-3 @ 2.83% ( 1-4 @ 1.75% ( 0-4 @ 1.42% ( 2-4 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 2.38% Total : 44% |