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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 43.56%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 31.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-2 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Grimsby Town |
| 43.56% ( | 24.58% ( | 31.87% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.04% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.22% ( | 44.78% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.86% ( | 67.14% ( |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.35% ( | 20.66% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.77% ( | 53.24% ( |
| Grimsby Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.15% ( | 26.85% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.85% ( | 62.15% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Grimsby Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.07% ( 1-0 @ 8.75% ( 2-0 @ 6.9% ( 3-1 @ 4.77% ( 3-0 @ 3.63% ( 3-2 @ 3.14% ( 4-1 @ 1.88% ( 4-0 @ 1.43% ( 4-2 @ 1.24% ( Other @ 2.77% Total : 43.56% | 1-1 @ 11.5% ( 2-2 @ 5.96% ( 0-0 @ 5.55% ( 3-3 @ 1.37% ( Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.58% | 1-2 @ 7.56% ( 0-1 @ 7.29% ( 0-2 @ 4.8% ( 1-3 @ 3.32% ( 2-3 @ 2.61% ( 0-3 @ 2.1% ( 1-4 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 3.1% Total : 31.87% |