Accrington Stanley
Barnet
Barrow
Bristol Rovers
Bromley
Cambridge United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crawley Town
Crewe Alexandra
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Newport County
Notts County
Oldham Athletic
Salford City
Shrewsbury Town
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Crewe Alexandra
League Two | Gameweek 44
Apr 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
Grimsby Town

Crewe
0 - 3
Grimsby Town


Cooney (34'), Cooney (34'), Williams (62')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Mullarkey (38', 38'), Thompson (59'), Hume (89')
Mullarkey (45'), Mullarkey (45')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and Grimsby Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Morecambe 0-1 Crewe
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Harrogate 1-0 Grimsby Town
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 43.56%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 31.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-2 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawGrimsby Town
43.56% (0.162 0.16)24.58% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)31.87% (-0.154 -0.15)
Both teams to score 58.04% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.22% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)44.78% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.86% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)67.14% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.35% (0.054000000000002 0.05)20.66% (-0.046000000000003 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.77% (0.079000000000001 0.08)53.24% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.15% (-0.12400000000001 -0.12)26.85% (0.132 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.85% (-0.163 -0.16)62.15% (0.17 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 43.56%
    Grimsby Town 31.87%
    Draw 24.58%
Crewe AlexandraDrawGrimsby Town
2-1 @ 9.07% (0.016 0.02)
1-0 @ 8.75% (0.035 0.04)
2-0 @ 6.9% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.77% (0.015 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.63% (0.025 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.14% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 1.88% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.43% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.24% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 43.56%
1-1 @ 11.5% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.96% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.55% (0.014 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.58%
1-2 @ 7.56% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
0-1 @ 7.29% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.8% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.32% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.61% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.1% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.09% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 31.87%

Head to Head
Dec 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 21
Grimsby Town
2-1
Crewe
Eisa (18'), Rose (45')
Mullarkey (33')
White (78')
White (79'), Rowe (85'), O'Riordan (90+1')
Apr 25, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Grimsby Town
2-0
Crewe
Holohan (13'), Orsi (82')
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 30
Crewe
0-3
Grimsby Town
McAtee (3'), Lloyd (31'), Dickson-Peters (84')
Aug 9, 2022 7.45pm
First Round
Grimsby Town
4-0
Crewe
Waterfall (13'), Green (34'), Smith (56'), Wearne (86')
Amos (3')

Mellor (65')
Apr 18, 2020 3pm