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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 44.29%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 32.41% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.22%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Grimsby Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 44.29% | 23.3% | 32.41% ( |
| Both teams to score 62.89% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.48% ( | 38.52% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.18% ( | 60.81% ( |
| Grimsby Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.2% ( | 17.79% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.49% ( | 48.51% ( |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.5% | 23.49% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.47% ( | 57.52% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.02% 1-0 @ 7.22% 2-0 @ 6.23% 3-1 @ 5.19% 3-2 @ 3.76% 3-0 @ 3.59% 4-1 @ 2.24% 4-2 @ 1.62% 4-0 @ 1.55% Other @ 3.88% Total : 44.29% | 1-1 @ 10.45% 2-2 @ 6.53% 0-0 @ 4.18% 3-3 @ 1.82% ( Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.29% | 1-2 @ 7.57% 0-1 @ 6.06% ( 0-2 @ 4.39% 1-3 @ 3.66% 2-3 @ 3.16% 0-3 @ 2.12% 1-4 @ 1.32% 2-4 @ 1.14% Other @ 3.01% Total : 32.41% |