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Grimsby Town
League Two | Gameweek 45
Apr 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Blundell Park
Swindon Town

Grimsby Town
2 - 0
Swindon

Smith (75'), Wilson (85')
Holohan (69')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the League Two clash between Grimsby Town and Swindon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Colchester 2-0 Grimsby Town
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Walsall 2-1 Swindon
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 44.29%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 32.41% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.22%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Grimsby Town would win this match.

Result
Grimsby TownDrawSwindon Town
44.29%23.3%32.41% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Both teams to score 62.89% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.48% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)38.52% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.18% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)60.81% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.2% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)17.79% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.49% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)48.51% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.5%23.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.47% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)57.52% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Score Analysis
    Grimsby Town 44.29%
    Swindon Town 32.41%
    Draw 23.29%
Grimsby TownDrawSwindon Town
2-1 @ 9.02%
1-0 @ 7.22%
2-0 @ 6.23%
3-1 @ 5.19%
3-2 @ 3.76%
3-0 @ 3.59%
4-1 @ 2.24%
4-2 @ 1.62%
4-0 @ 1.55%
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 44.29%
1-1 @ 10.45%
2-2 @ 6.53%
0-0 @ 4.18%
3-3 @ 1.82% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.29%
1-2 @ 7.57%
0-1 @ 6.06% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 4.39%
1-3 @ 3.66%
2-3 @ 3.16%
0-3 @ 2.12%
1-4 @ 1.32%
2-4 @ 1.14%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 32.41%

Head to Head
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
Swindon
2-1
Grimsby Town
Kemp (26'), Cain (64')
Blake-Tracy (60'), Hutton (90+4')
Wilson (69')
Clifton (62'), Rodgers (90+2')
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 27
Swindon
5-0
Grimsby Town
Austin (25'), Lavinier (62'), Williams (66'), Darcy (78'), Khan (88')
Sep 24, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 11
Grimsby Town
1-2
Swindon
Taylor (25')
Jephcott (13'), Darcy (44')
Feb 22, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 35
Swindon
3-1
Grimsby Town
Yates (46'), Jaiyesimi (49'), Hendrie (57' og.)
Grant (3')
Hanson (59')
Clarke (66'), Driscoll-Glennon (70')
Dec 7, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 20
Grimsby Town
0-3
Swindon

Hewitt (76')
Doyle (10'), Yates (24', 52')
rhs 2.0


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