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Walsall
League Two | Gameweek 40
Apr 16, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Poundland Bescot Stadium
Swindon Town

Walsall
2 - 1
Swindon

Faal (11'), Johnson (89')
Stirk (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Glatzel (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Walsall and Swindon Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Walsall 1-3 Notts County
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 3-2 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Walsall 1-0 Swindon Town

Walsall need points for playoffs but are shaky at home recently. Swindon are in good form but terrible away. The hosts' home record might hold, earning them a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 48.96%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 27.99% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-2 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Walsall in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Walsall.

Result
WalsallDrawSwindon Town
48.96% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 23.05% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 27.99% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 61.03% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.2% (0.026000000000003 0.03)39.8% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.84% (0.027000000000001 0.03)62.16% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Walsall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.5% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)16.5% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.77% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)46.22% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.08% (0.021000000000001 0.02)26.91% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.76% (0.028999999999996 0.03)62.24% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Walsall 48.96%
    Swindon Town 27.99%
    Draw 23.05%
WalsallDrawSwindon Town
2-1 @ 9.46% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.21% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.68%
3-0 @ 4.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 3.73% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2.56%
4-0 @ 1.95% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.68% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 0.92% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 48.96%
1-1 @ 10.5%
2-2 @ 6.21% (0.0029999999999992 0)
0-0 @ 4.44% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.63% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.05%
1-2 @ 6.89% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 5.83% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 3.82%
1-3 @ 3.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.67% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 27.99%

How you voted: Walsall vs Swindon

Walsall
63.2%
Draw
5.3%
Swindon Town
31.6%
19
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Swindon
2-0
Walsall
Austin (2'), Hepburn-Murphy (88')
Khan (36'), Hutton (90+4')

Hutchinson (25'), Knowles (62'), Gordon (90+4')
Knowles (66')
Mar 14, 2023 7.45pm
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 23
Swindon
1-2
Walsall
Iandolo (33')
Hutton (45+1' og.), Monthe (90+4')
Aug 9, 2022 7.45pm
First Round
Walsall
2-0
Swindon
Johnson (80' pen.), Abraham (81')

Adeloye (81'), Harries (85'), Darcy (90+5')
Minturn (78')
May 7, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 46
Walsall
0-3
Swindon

Daniels (45+2'), Monthe (73')
McKirdy (3'), Payne (25', 45+3')
Williams (54'), Reed (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport462711896484892
4MK Dons462391483681578
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster46218177368571
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe461914136965471
7Crawley TownCrawley46217187367670
8BarrowBarrow461815136256669
9Bradford CityBradford461912156159269
10AFC Wimbledon4617141564511365
11Walsall461811176973-465
12Gillingham461810184657-1164
13Harrogate TownHarrogate461712176069-963
14Notts County46187218986361
15Morecambe461710196781-1458
16Tranmere RoversTranmere46176236770-357
17Accrington StanleyAccrington46169216371-857
18Newport CountyNewport46167236276-1455
19Swindon TownSwindon461412207783-654
20Salford City461312216682-1651
21Grimsby Town461116195774-1749
22Colchester UnitedColchester461112235980-2145
RSutton UnitedSutton46915225984-2542
RForest Green RoversForest Green46119264478-3442


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