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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 47.48%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 29.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.19%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 2-1 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Harrogate Town | Draw | MK Dons |
| 29.05% ( | 23.47% | 47.48% ( |
| Both teams to score 60.34% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.94% ( | 41.06% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.54% ( | 63.45% ( |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.17% ( | 26.83% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.87% ( | 62.13% ( |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.46% ( | 17.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.94% ( | 48.06% |
| Score Analysis |
| Harrogate Town | Draw | MK Dons |
| 2-1 @ 7.09% ( 1-0 @ 6.19% 2-0 @ 4.07% ( 3-1 @ 3.11% 3-2 @ 2.71% 3-0 @ 1.79% 4-1 @ 1.02% Other @ 3.08% Total : 29.05% | 1-1 @ 10.77% 2-2 @ 6.17% ( 0-0 @ 4.7% ( 3-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.46% | 1-2 @ 9.38% 0-1 @ 8.19% ( 0-2 @ 7.13% ( 1-3 @ 5.44% ( 0-3 @ 4.14% ( 2-3 @ 3.58% 1-4 @ 2.37% 0-4 @ 1.8% ( 2-4 @ 1.56% Other @ 3.89% Total : 47.48% |