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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 54.1%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 24.42% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.37%) and 1-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 1-2 (6.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| MK Dons | Draw | Sutton United |
| 54.1% ( | 21.49% ( | 24.42% ( |
| Both teams to score 63.14% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.51% ( | 35.49% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.46% ( | 57.54% ( |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.75% ( | 13.25% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.97% ( | 40.03% ( |
| Sutton United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.78% ( | 27.22% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.36% ( | 62.64% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| MK Dons | Draw | Sutton United |
| 2-1 @ 9.59% ( 2-0 @ 7.37% ( 1-0 @ 7.29% ( 3-1 @ 6.46% ( 3-0 @ 4.96% ( 3-2 @ 4.2% ( 4-1 @ 3.26% 4-0 @ 2.51% ( 4-2 @ 2.12% ( 5-1 @ 1.32% 5-0 @ 1.01% ( 4-3 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 3.08% Total : 54.1% | 1-1 @ 9.49% ( 2-2 @ 6.24% ( 0-0 @ 3.61% ( 3-3 @ 1.82% ( Other @ 0.33% Total : 21.49% | 1-2 @ 6.17% ( 0-1 @ 4.69% ( 0-2 @ 3.05% ( 2-3 @ 2.71% ( 1-3 @ 2.68% ( 0-3 @ 1.32% ( Other @ 3.79% Total : 24.42% |