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MK Dons
League Two | Gameweek 46
Apr 27, 2024 at 3pm UK
Stadium mk
Sutton United

MK Dons
4 - 4
Sutton

Payne (14'), Gilbey (41'), Tezgel (60'), Harrison (70')
O'Hora (67'), Harrison (90+6')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Duke-McKenna (50', 75'), Lakin (62'), Smith (90+1')
Eastmond (65'), Hart (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between MK Dons and Sutton United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Harrogate 3-5 MK Dons
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Sutton 2-2 Crawley
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 54.1%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 24.42% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.37%) and 1-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 1-2 (6.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
MK DonsDrawSutton United
54.1% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)21.49% (0.00099999999999767 0)24.42% (0.022000000000002 0.02)
Both teams to score 63.14% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.51% (0.027000000000001 0.03)35.49% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.46% (0.030999999999999 0.03)57.54% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.75% (0.0049999999999955 0)13.25% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.97% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)40.03% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.78% (0.030999999999992 0.03)27.22% (-0.032 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.36% (0.042000000000002 0.04)62.64% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 54.1%
    Sutton United 24.42%
    Draw 21.49%
MK DonsDrawSutton United
2-1 @ 9.59% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 7.37% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.29% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.46% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 4.96% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 3.26%
4-0 @ 2.51% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 2.12% (0.0010000000000003 0)
5-1 @ 1.32%
5-0 @ 1.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-3 @ 0.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 54.1%
1-1 @ 9.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 6.24% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-0 @ 3.61% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.82% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 21.49%
1-2 @ 6.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 4.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 3.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.71% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 2.68% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.32% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 24.42%

How you voted: MK Dons vs Sutton

MK Dons
70.0%
Draw
10.0%
Sutton United
20.0%
10
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Sutton
1-1
MK Dons
Sowunmi (37')
Gilbey (53')
Williams (71')
Aug 9, 2022 7.45pm
First Round
MK Dons
1-0
Sutton
Grant (41')
rhs 2.0


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