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MK Dons
League Two | 2nd Leg
May 11, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadium mk
Crawley Town

MK Dons
1 - 5
Crawley

Dean (45+1')
Williams (61'), Williams (83'), Dean (90+5'), Williams (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Williams (3'), Orsi (30', 48', 90+2'), Roles (80')
Lolos (40'), Tucker (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between MK Dons and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crawley 3-0 MK Dons
Tuesday, May 7 at 7.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Crawley 3-0 MK Dons
Tuesday, May 7 at 7.30pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 48.61%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 29.2% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.66%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
MK DonsDrawCrawley Town
48.61% (0.0049999999999955 0)22.19% (0.00099999999999767 0)29.2% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Both teams to score 65.15% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.22% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)34.78% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.26% (-0.012 -0.01)56.74% (0.012 0.01)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.24% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)14.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)43% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.43% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)23.57% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.37% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)57.63% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 48.61%
    Crawley Town 29.2%
    Draw 22.19%
MK DonsDrawCrawley Town
2-1 @ 9.2% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 6.66% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 6.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 5.87%
3-2 @ 4.24% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 4.06% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 2.81%
4-2 @ 2.03%
4-0 @ 1.94%
5-1 @ 1.07%
4-3 @ 0.98% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 48.61%
1-1 @ 9.62% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-2 @ 6.65% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 3.48% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 2.04% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 22.19%
1-2 @ 6.95%
0-1 @ 5.03% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 3.63%
1-3 @ 3.35% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 3.2% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.75% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.21% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.16% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 29.2%

How you voted: MK Dons vs Crawley

MK Dons
57.5%
Draw
17.5%
Crawley Town
25.0%
40
Head to Head
May 7, 2024 7.30pm
Crawley
3-0
MK Dons
Kelly (5'), Williams (45+1'), Darcy (65')
Maguire (51'), Conroy (66'), Gordon (90+3')

Tomlinson (41'), Bate (45'), Harvie (57')
Dec 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
MK Dons
2-0
Crawley
Tomlinson (2'), Gilbey (82')
Dean (17'), Grant (18'), Gilbey (61')

Maguire (7'), Lindsey (8')
Maguire (85')
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Crawley
2-1
MK Dons
Tsaroulla (15'), Orsi (52')
Williams (90+9')
Eisa (27')
Robson (65'), Hunter (90+9')
Mar 2, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 35
MK Dons
1-0
Crawley
Agard (41')
McGrandles (12'), Walsh (80')
Nov 3, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 17
Crawley
0-4
MK Dons

Vincelot (64')
Healey (7', 45'), Agard (18'), Aneke (63')
rhs 2.0


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