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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 48.61%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 29.2% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.66%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| MK Dons | Draw | Crawley Town |
| 48.61% ( | 22.19% ( | 29.2% ( |
| Both teams to score 65.15% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.22% ( | 34.78% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.26% ( | 56.74% ( |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.24% ( | 14.76% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57% ( | 43% ( |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.43% ( | 23.57% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.37% ( | 57.63% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| MK Dons | Draw | Crawley Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.2% ( 1-0 @ 6.66% ( 2-0 @ 6.37% ( 3-1 @ 5.87% 3-2 @ 4.24% ( 3-0 @ 4.06% ( 4-1 @ 2.81% 4-2 @ 2.03% 4-0 @ 1.94% 5-1 @ 1.07% 4-3 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 3.39% Total : 48.61% | 1-1 @ 9.62% ( 2-2 @ 6.65% ( 0-0 @ 3.48% ( 3-3 @ 2.04% ( Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.19% | 1-2 @ 6.95% 0-1 @ 5.03% ( 0-2 @ 3.63% 1-3 @ 3.35% ( 2-3 @ 3.2% ( 0-3 @ 1.75% ( 1-4 @ 1.21% ( 2-4 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 2.92% Total : 29.2% |