League Two

League Two | 1st Leg

May 6, 2024 at 5.30pm UK

Alexandra Stadium

Crewe
0 - 2
Doncaster

(2-2 on aggregate)

Demetriou (43')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Molyneux (34'), Biggins (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and Doncaster Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions

Last Game: Colchester 1-1 Crewe
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Doncaster Rovers

All competitions

Last Game: Gillingham 2-2 Doncaster
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 45.84%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 29.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 2-1 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Doncaster Rovers would win this match.

Result
Crewe Alexandra	Draw	Doncaster Rovers
29.96% ( 0.32)	24.19% ( 0.29)	45.84% ( -0.61)

Both teams to score 58.39% (

-0.8)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.11% (

-1.14)

43.89% (

1.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.72% (

-1.13)

66.28% (

1.13)

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.36% (

-0.36)

27.64% (

0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.81% (

-0.46)

63.18% (

0.46)

Doncaster Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.69% (

-0.7)

19.3% (

0.71)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.94% (

-1.17)

51.06% (

1.17)

Score Analysis

Crewe Alexandra 29.96%

Doncaster Rovers 45.84%

Draw 24.19%

Crewe Alexandra	Draw	Doncaster Rovers
2-1 @ 7.26% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 6.86% ( 0.27) 2-0 @ 4.41% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 3.11% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.88% Total : 29.96%	1-1 @ 11.28% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.26) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.19%	1-2 @ 9.28% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 8.78% ( 0.24) 0-2 @ 7.22% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 5.09% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 3.96% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 3.27% ( -0.12) 1-4 @ 2.09% ( -0.11) 0-4 @ 1.63% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.18% Total : 45.84%