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Colchester United
League Two | Gameweek 38
Apr 23, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
JobServe Community Stadium
Doncaster Rovers

Colchester
1 - 4
Doncaster

Fevrier (9')
Iandolo (13'), Harbottle (75')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Molyneux (14'), Biggins (22'), Anderson (76'), Ironside (85')
Sterry (17'), Ironside (45+3'), Biggins (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Colchester United and Doncaster Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Doncaster 4-2 Barrow
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 38.49%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 36.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (6.17%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 1-0 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Doncaster Rovers would win this match.

Result
Colchester UnitedDrawDoncaster Rovers
36.25% (0.030000000000001 0.03)25.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)38.49% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Both teams to score 56.77% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.08% (0.016000000000005 0.02)46.92% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.83% (0.015000000000001 0.02)69.17% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.74% (0.024000000000001 0.02)25.26% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.98% (0.033999999999999 0.03)60.02% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Doncaster Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.96% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)24.04% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.69% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)58.31% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Colchester United 36.25%
    Doncaster Rovers 38.49%
    Draw 25.27%
Colchester UnitedDrawDoncaster Rovers
1-0 @ 8.36%
2-1 @ 8.19% (0.0040000000000013 0)
2-0 @ 5.75% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 3.76% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2.64% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.29% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.001 0)
4-0 @ 0.91% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 36.25%
1-1 @ 11.91%
0-0 @ 6.07% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-2 @ 5.84% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.27% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.27%
0-1 @ 8.66% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 6.17% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.03% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 2.93% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.77%
1-4 @ 1.44% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.04% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 0.99%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 38.49%

How you voted: Colchester vs Doncaster

Colchester United
22.0%
Draw
10.2%
Doncaster Rovers
67.8%
59
Head to Head
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Doncaster
3-1
Colchester
Maxwell (33'), Faal (73'), Ironside (87' pen.)
Olowu (63'), Rowe (67')
Taylor (43')
Hopper (22'), McGeehan (51'), Smith (60'), Ihionvien (79')
Apr 29, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 45
Doncaster
1-0
Colchester
Rowe (30')
Nov 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 19
Colchester
3-0
Doncaster
Newby (45+1'), Tovide (59'), Hannant (89')
Apr 14, 2017 3pm
Colchester
1-1
Doncaster
Dickenson (16')
James (48'), Eastman (71')
Baudry (45')
Mason (31'), Blair (42'), May (95')
Oct 15, 2016 3pm
Doncaster
1-0
Colchester
Rowe (45')
Mason (19'), Blair (50')

Brindley (23'), Slater (53')