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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 38.49%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 36.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (6.17%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 1-0 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Doncaster Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Colchester United | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
| 36.25% ( | 25.27% ( | 38.49% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.77% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.08% ( | 46.92% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.83% ( | 69.17% ( |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.74% ( | 25.26% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.98% ( | 60.02% ( |
| Doncaster Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.96% ( | 24.04% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.69% ( | 58.31% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Colchester United | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 8.36% 2-1 @ 8.19% ( 2-0 @ 5.75% ( 3-1 @ 3.76% ( 3-2 @ 2.68% ( 3-0 @ 2.64% ( 4-1 @ 1.29% ( 4-2 @ 0.92% ( 4-0 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 1.75% Total : 36.25% | 1-1 @ 11.91% 0-0 @ 6.07% ( 2-2 @ 5.84% ( 3-3 @ 1.27% ( Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.27% | 0-1 @ 8.66% ( 1-2 @ 8.49% ( 0-2 @ 6.17% ( 1-3 @ 4.03% ( 0-3 @ 2.93% ( 2-3 @ 2.77% 1-4 @ 1.44% ( 0-4 @ 1.04% ( 2-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.96% Total : 38.49% |