Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 38.49%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 36.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (6.17%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 1-0 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Doncaster Rovers would win this match.