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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 48.92%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 27.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-2 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Doncaster Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
| 48.92% ( | 23.64% ( | 27.44% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.49% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.05% ( | 42.95% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.64% ( | 65.35% ( |
| Doncaster Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.29% ( | 17.7% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.64% ( | 48.36% ( |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.08% ( | 28.92% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.2% ( | 64.8% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
| 2-1 @ 9.52% ( 1-0 @ 8.87% ( 2-0 @ 7.68% ( 3-1 @ 5.5% ( 3-0 @ 4.43% ( 3-2 @ 3.41% ( 4-1 @ 2.38% ( 4-0 @ 1.92% ( 4-2 @ 1.48% ( Other @ 3.75% Total : 48.92% | 1-1 @ 10.99% ( 2-2 @ 5.91% 0-0 @ 5.12% ( 3-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.63% | 1-2 @ 6.82% ( 0-1 @ 6.35% ( 0-2 @ 3.94% ( 1-3 @ 2.82% ( 2-3 @ 2.44% 0-3 @ 1.63% ( Other @ 3.44% Total : 27.44% |