League Two

League Two | Gameweek 45

Apr 20, 2024 at 3pm UK

Meadow Lane Stadium

Notts County
1 - 0
Colchester

Langstaff (54', 54')
Jones (89')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Mingi (53'), Mingi (53'), Read (90+4'), Chilvers (90+2')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Notts County and Colchester United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Notts County

All competitions

Last Game: Notts County 2-5 Stockport
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Colchester United

All competitions

Last Game: Colchester 2-0 Grimsby Town
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 40.23%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 38.51% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (4.97%) and 2-3 (4.68%). The likeliest Notts County win was 2-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
Notts County	Draw	Colchester United
38.51% ( 0.23)	21.26% ( 0.01)	40.23% ( -0.24)

Both teams to score 72.43% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

73.25% (

-0.02)

26.74% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

52.83% (

-0.03)

47.17% (

0.03)

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.78% (

0.08)

15.22% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.13% (

0.15)

43.87% (

-0.15)

Colchester United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.43% (

-0.1)

14.57% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.36% (

-0.19)

42.63% (

0.19)

Score Analysis

Notts County 38.51%

Colchester United 40.23%

Draw 21.26%

Notts County	Draw	Colchester United
2-1 @ 7.57% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.75% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 3.93% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.47% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.24% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 2.15% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 1.38% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.02) Other @ 4.11% Total : 38.51%	1-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 7.29% ( 0) 3-3 @ 2.94% ( -0) 0-0 @ 2.22% ( 0) Other @ 0.77% Total : 21.26%	1-2 @ 7.74% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.97% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 4.68% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.27% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.4% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 2.25% ( -0.02) 3-4 @ 1.42% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.02) 1-5 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.55% Total : 40.23%