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Championship header 2

League Two

Colchester United
League Two | Gameweek 46
Apr 27, 2024 at 3pm UK
JobServe Community Stadium
Crewe Alexandra

Colchester
1 - 1
Crewe

Chilvers (35', 35')
Kelleher (62')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Nevitt (90+2')
Rowe (49'), Rowe (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Colchester United and Crewe Alexandra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Colchester United

All competitions
Last Game: Colchester 1-4 Doncaster
Tuesday, April 23 at 7.45pm in League Two

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
Last Game: Crewe 0-3 Wrexham
Saturday, April 20 at 12.30pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 45.98%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 29.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.7%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 2-1 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result
Colchester UnitedDrawCrewe Alexandra
29.91% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)24.12% (0.0089999999999968 0.01)45.98% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Both teams to score 58.63% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.44% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)43.56% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.05% (-0.074000000000005 -0.07)65.95% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.49% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)27.51% (0.096999999999998 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.98% (-0.12 -0.12)63.02% (0.125 0.13)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.88% (0.0019999999999953 0)19.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.25% (0.0010000000000048 0)50.75% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Colchester United 29.91%
    Crewe Alexandra 45.98%
    Draw 24.11%
Colchester UnitedDrawCrewe Alexandra
2-1 @ 7.25% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.79% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 4.38% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.12% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.58% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.88% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.01% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 29.91%
1-1 @ 11.23% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.26% (0.019 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.42% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.11%
1-2 @ 9.29% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.7% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 7.2% (0.025 0.03)
1-3 @ 5.13% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-3 @ 3.97% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.31% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.12% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-4 @ 1.64% (0.006 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.37% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 45.98%

How you voted: Colchester vs Crewe

Colchester United
31.3%
Draw
31.3%
Crewe Alexandra
37.5%
16
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Crewe
2-1
Colchester
Long (3', 8' pen.)
Demetriou (90+3')
Tovide (53')
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 41
Colchester
4-0
Crewe
Akinde (24', 28'), Chilvers (40'), Tovide (55')
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 18
Crewe
1-0
Colchester
Agyei (80')
Mar 17, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 39
Colchester
P-P
Crewe
Oct 22, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Crewe
0-0
Colchester
Lowery (71'), Pickering (80'), Hunt (95')
Comley (45'), Eastman (83')
Robinson (95')
rhs 2.0


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