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Championship header 2

League Two

Crewe Alexandra
League Two | Gameweek 45
Apr 20, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
Wrexham AFC

Crewe
0 - 3
Wrexham


Williams (45'), Rowe (45'), Nevitt (85')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Palmer (24'), Mullin (45+1'), Cannon (61')
McClean (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
Last Game: Crewe 0-3 Grimsby Town
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League Two

Wrexham

All competitions
Last Game: Wrexham 6-0 Forest Green
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 46.98%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 28.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-2 (7.67%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawWrexham
28.62% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)24.41%46.98% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 56.78% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.38% (0.0020000000000024 0)45.62% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.06%67.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.55% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)29.45% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)65.45% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.48% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)19.52% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.59% (0.0039999999999978 0)51.41%
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 28.62%
    Wrexham 46.98%
    Draw 24.41%
Crewe AlexandraDrawWrexham
1-0 @ 7.03%
2-1 @ 7.02%
2-0 @ 4.3% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 2.86%
3-2 @ 2.34%
3-0 @ 1.75% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 28.62%
1-1 @ 11.48%
0-0 @ 5.75%
2-2 @ 5.73%
3-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.41%
0-1 @ 9.39% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-2 @ 9.38% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 7.67% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 5.11%
0-3 @ 4.18% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 3.12%
1-4 @ 2.09%
0-4 @ 1.71%
2-4 @ 1.28%
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 46.98%

How you voted: Crewe vs Wrexham

Crewe Alexandra
18.8%
Draw
18.8%
Wrexham
62.5%
16
Head to Head
Oct 10, 2023 7.30pm
Group Stage
Crewe
0-3
Wrexham

Colkett (33')
Offord (72')
Offord (5' og.), Davies (13'), Young (73' pen.)
Davies (11')
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
Wrexham
3-3
Crewe
Mullin (40', 47'), Fletcher (90+5')
Palmer (11'), Parkinson (12'), McClean (45+2'), Boyle (45+4'), Mullin (90+2')
Barnett (36')
Demetriou (24'), Long (45+5' pen.), Tracey (65')
Tracey (33'), Williams (79'), Davies (82'), Holicek (87')
> Preview
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