League Two Gameweek 45
Apr 20, 2024 12.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Alexandra Stadium
  • Zac Williams 45' yellowcard
  • Aaron Rowe 45' yellowcard
  • Ryan Cooney 54' redcard
  • Elliott Nevitt 85' yellowcard
  • goal Ollie Palmer 24'
  • yellowcard James McClean 45'
  • goal Paul Mullin 45'+1'
  • goal Andy Cannon 61'

Crewe Alexandra vs Wrexham - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
Last game
Apr 13, 2024 3.00pm
Crewe 0 - 3 Grimsby Town
Goals scored
71
Top scorer
Elliott Nevitt

Wrexham

All competitions
Last game
Apr 13, 2024 3.00pm
Wrexham 6 - 0 Forest Green
Goals scored
89
Top scorer
Paul Mullin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 46.98%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 28.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-2 (7.67%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result

Crewe Alexandra 28.62% (-0.01)
Draw 24.41%
Wrexham 46.98% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.78% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.38% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 45.62% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 32.06%
Under 3.5 67.94% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 16.12% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 83.88% (+0.01)

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 0.5 70.55% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 29.45% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 34.55% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 65.45% (+0.01)

Wrexham Goals

Over 0.5 80.48% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 19.52% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 48.59% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 51.41%

Score analysis

Crewe Alexandra 28.62%
Draw 24.41%
Wrexham 46.98%
Crewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 7.03%
2-1 @ 7.02%
2-0 @ 4.3% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.86%
3-2 @ 2.34%
3-0 @ 1.75% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 28.62%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.48%
0-0 @ 5.75%
2-2 @ 5.73%
3-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.41%
Wrexham
0-1 @ 9.39% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 9.38% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 7.67% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 5.11%
0-3 @ 4.18% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.12%
1-4 @ 2.09%
0-4 @ 1.71%
2-4 @ 1.28%
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 46.98%

Head to Head

EFL Trophy
Oct 10, 2023 7.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Alexandra Stadium
  • Charlie Colkett 33' yellowcard
  • Luke Offord 72' redcard
  • goal Luke Offord 5' (OG)
  • yellowcard Jordan Davies 11'
  • goal Jordan Davies 13'
  • goal Luke Young 73'
League Two Gameweek 10
Sep 30, 2023 3.00pm
3
3
HT : 1 2
FT Poolfoot Farm
  • Ollie Palmer 11' yellowcard
  • Phil Parkinson 12' yellowcard
  • Ryan Barnett 36' redcard
  • Paul Mullin 40' goal
  • Paul Mullin 47' goal
  • James McClean 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Will Boyle 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Paul Mullin 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Steven Fletcher 90'+5' goal
  • goal Mickey Demetriou 24'
  • yellowcard Shilow Tracey 33'
  • goal Chris Long 45'+5'
  • goal Shilow Tracey 65'
  • yellowcard Zac Williams 79'
  • yellowcard Harvey Davies 82'
  • yellowcard Matus Holicek 87'