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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 70.88%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 12.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 1-0 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.91%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 1-2 (3.54%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wrexham | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
| 70.88% ( | 17.01% ( | 12.1% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.81% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.17% ( | 35.83% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.08% ( | 57.91% |
| Wrexham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.03% | 8.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.4% ( | 30.6% |
| Forest Green Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.11% ( | 40.89% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.54% ( | 77.46% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Wrexham | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
| 2-0 @ 10.66% 2-1 @ 9.54% 1-0 @ 8.85% 3-0 @ 8.57% 3-1 @ 7.66% 4-0 @ 5.17% ( 4-1 @ 4.62% 3-2 @ 3.43% 5-0 @ 2.49% ( 5-1 @ 2.23% 4-2 @ 2.07% 6-0 @ 1% 5-2 @ 1% Other @ 3.61% Total : 70.88% | 1-1 @ 7.91% 2-2 @ 4.26% ( 0-0 @ 3.67% 3-3 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 17.01% | 1-2 @ 3.54% ( 0-1 @ 3.28% 0-2 @ 1.47% 2-3 @ 1.27% 1-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.49% Total : 12.1% |