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Mansfield Town
League Two | Gameweek 14
Apr 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
One Call Stadium
Forest Green Rovers

Mansfield
1 - 0
Forest Green

Nichols (20')
Nichols (77'), Lewis (84'), Clarke (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Inniss (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Mansfield Town and Forest Green Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mansfield 1-4 Crawley
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 69.96%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 12.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 1-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.22%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 1-2 (3.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result
Mansfield TownDrawForest Green Rovers
69.96% (-1.695 -1.7)17.55% (0.721 0.72)12.49% (0.974 0.97)
Both teams to score 53.01% (0.564 0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.54% (-0.864 -0.86)37.46% (0.86199999999999 0.86)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.32% (-0.933 -0.93)59.68% (0.932 0.93)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.39% (-0.61800000000001 -0.62)9.61% (0.6181 0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.89% (-1.467 -1.47)32.11% (1.467 1.47)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.65% (1.019 1.02)41.35% (-1.02 -1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.13% (0.887 0.89)77.87% (-0.88800000000001 -0.89)
Score Analysis
    Mansfield Town 69.96%
    Forest Green Rovers 12.49%
    Draw 17.55%
Mansfield TownDrawForest Green Rovers
2-0 @ 10.9% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-1 @ 9.63% (0.134 0.13)
1-0 @ 9.31% (0.131 0.13)
3-0 @ 8.51% (-0.363 -0.36)
3-1 @ 7.52% (-0.105 -0.11)
4-0 @ 4.99% (-0.36 -0.36)
4-1 @ 4.4% (-0.187 -0.19)
3-2 @ 3.32% (0.046 0.05)
5-0 @ 2.34% (-0.24 -0.24)
5-1 @ 2.06% (-0.149 -0.15)
4-2 @ 1.94% (-0.027 -0.03)
6-0 @ 0.91% (-0.122 -0.12)
5-2 @ 0.91% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 69.96%
1-1 @ 8.22% (0.338 0.34)
2-2 @ 4.25% (0.175 0.18)
0-0 @ 3.97% (0.163 0.16)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 17.55%
1-2 @ 3.63% (0.245 0.25)
0-1 @ 3.51% (0.237 0.24)
0-2 @ 1.55% (0.145 0.15)
2-3 @ 1.25% (0.085 0.09)
1-3 @ 1.07% (0.1 0.1)
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 12.49%

How you voted: Mansfield vs Forest Green

Mansfield Town
81.3%
Draw
6.3%
Forest Green Rovers
12.5%
48
Head to Head
Feb 10, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 32
Forest Green
0-4
Mansfield

Robson (16'), Thompson (54')
Clarke (11', 90+7'), Nichols (69'), Swan (78')
May 7, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 46
Mansfield
2-2
Forest Green
Longstaff (17'), Bowery (78')
McLaughlin (37')
Adams (64'), March (80')
March (81')
Apr 5, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Forest Green
1-0
Mansfield
March (14')
Matt (39'), Wilson (79'), Adams (84')

Hawkins (11'), Wallace (38'), Hewitt (90')
Lapslie (49')
Mar 23, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 28
Mansfield
0-0
Forest Green
Law (65'), McLaughlin (81'), Reid (82')
Wilson (62')
Nov 14, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 12
Forest Green
1-2
Mansfield
Bailey (85')
Cadden (38'), Winchester (45+2')
Lapslie (6'), Charsley (35')
Benning (22')