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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 69.96%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 12.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 1-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.22%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 1-2 (3.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
| 69.96% ( | 17.55% ( | 12.49% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.01% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.54% ( | 37.46% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.32% ( | 59.68% ( |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.39% ( | 9.61% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.89% ( | 32.11% ( |
| Forest Green Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.65% ( | 41.35% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.13% ( | 77.87% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
| 2-0 @ 10.9% ( 2-1 @ 9.63% ( 1-0 @ 9.31% ( 3-0 @ 8.51% ( 3-1 @ 7.52% ( 4-0 @ 4.99% ( 4-1 @ 4.4% ( 3-2 @ 3.32% ( 5-0 @ 2.34% ( 5-1 @ 2.06% ( 4-2 @ 1.94% ( 6-0 @ 0.91% ( 5-2 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 3.22% Total : 69.96% | 1-1 @ 8.22% ( 2-2 @ 4.25% ( 0-0 @ 3.97% ( 3-3 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 17.55% | 1-2 @ 3.63% ( 0-1 @ 3.51% ( 0-2 @ 1.55% ( 2-3 @ 1.25% ( 1-3 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 1.48% Total : 12.49% |