Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 48.06%. A win for Stockport County had a probability of 28.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Stockport County win was 1-2 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Wrexham in this match.