Club Friendlies 3
Jul 30, 2024 7.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT University of Bolton Stadium
  • Josh Sheehan 62' yellowcard
  • goal Million Manhoef 34'

Bolton Wanderers vs Stoke City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 26, 2024 7.30pm
Bolton 1 - 1 Fiorentina

Stoke City

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 27, 2024 2.00pm
Stockport 1 - 0 Stoke

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 41.81%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 33.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.81%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.

Result

Bolton Wanderers 33.28% (-0.04)
Draw 24.91% (+0.02)
Stoke City 41.81% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.41% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.17% (-0.10)
Under 2.5 45.83% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 31.85% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 68.15% (+0.09)
Over 4.5 15.97% (-0.07)
Under 4.5 84.03% (+0.07)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5 73.52% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 26.48% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 38.33% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 61.67% (+0.08)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5 78.09% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 21.91% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 44.83% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 55.17% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Bolton Wanderers 33.28%
Draw 24.91%
Stoke City 41.81%
Bolton Wanderers
2-1 @ 7.78% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.71% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 5.12% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.44% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.61% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.27% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.14% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 33.28%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.7% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.9% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.8% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.91%
Stoke City
1-2 @ 8.89%
0-1 @ 8.81% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 6.69% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 4.5% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.38% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.99% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.71% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.29%
2-4 @ 1.13% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 41.81%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 25
Dec 29, 2018 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Macron Stadium (Bolton)
  • Clayton Donaldson 60' yellowcard
  • Joshua Vela 69' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bruno Martins Indi 37'
  • yellowcard Joe Allen 65'
  • yellowcard Thomas Edwards 82'
Championship Gameweek 11
Oct 2, 2018 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Bet365 Stadium (Stoke-on-Trent, Staffordshire)
  • Bruno Martins Indi 10' goal
  • Cuco Martina 71' yellowcard
  • Tom Ince 74' goal
  • yellowcard Jonathan Grounds 38'
  • yellowcard Craig Noone 60'
Pre-Season Friendlies
Jul 29, 2017 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Adam Le Fondre 44' goal
  • goal Joselu 78'
  • goal Joselu 88'
Premier League
May 13, 2012 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Jon Walters 13' goal
  • Jon Walters 77' goal
  • Robert Huth 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sam Ricketts 38'
  • goal Mark Davies 39'
  • goal Kevin Davies 45'
Premier League
Nov 6, 2011 3.00pm
5
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Kevin Davies 2' goal
  • Chris Eagles 23' goal
  • Ivan Klasnic 61' goal
  • Chris Eagles 73' goal
  • Ivan Klasnic 81' goal
  • yellowcard Jon Walters 76'
Premier League
Jan 15, 2011 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Danny Higginbotham 37' goal
  • Matthew Etherington 63' goal
  • yellowcard Zat Knight 62'
  • yellowcard Fabrice Muamba 64'