Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 41.81%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 33.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.81%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.

Result
Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Stoke City
33.28% ( -0.03)	24.91% ( 0.02)	41.81% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 57.41% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.17% (

-0.09)

45.83% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.85% (

-0.09)

68.15% (

0.08)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.52% (

-0.06)

26.48% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.33% (

-0.08)

61.67% (

0.08)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.09% (

-0.04)

21.91% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.83% (

-0.05)

55.17% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Bolton Wanderers 33.28%

Stoke City 41.81%

Draw 24.91%

Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Stoke City
2-1 @ 7.78% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.71% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.12% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.44% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.27% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.2% Total : 33.28%	1-1 @ 11.7% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.8% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.91%	1-2 @ 8.89% 0-1 @ 8.81% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.69% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.5% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.38% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.71% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.29% 2-4 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 2.43% Total : 41.81%