Champions League

Champions League | League Stage

Sep 17, 2024 at 5.45pm UK

Allianz Stadium

Juventus
3 - 1
PSV

Yildiz (21'), McKennie (27'), Gonzalez (52')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Saibari (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Juventus and PSV Eindhoven, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Juventus

All competitions

Last Game: Empoli 0-0 Juventus
Saturday, September 14 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions

Last Game: PSV 2-0 Nijmegen
Saturday, September 14 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 55.94%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Juventus had a probability of 21.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.86%) and 0-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Juventus win it was 1-0 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.

Result
Juventus	Draw	PSV Eindhoven
21.09% ( -2.23)	22.96% ( -1.13)	55.94% ( 3.35)

Both teams to score 53.5% (

0.68)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.82% (

2.33)

46.18% (

-2.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.52% (

2.16)

68.47% (

-2.16)

Juventus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.94% (

-0.8)

36.05% (

0.8)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.17% (

-0.83)

72.83% (

0.82)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.67% (

2.08)

16.33% (

-2.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.07% (

3.64)

45.92% (

-3.64)

Score Analysis

Juventus 21.09%

PSV Eindhoven 55.93%

Draw 22.96%

Juventus	Draw	PSV Eindhoven
1-0 @ 6.01% ( -0.76) 2-1 @ 5.55% ( -0.42) 2-0 @ 3.06% ( -0.46) 3-1 @ 1.89% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.18) Other @ 1.83% Total : 21.09%	1-1 @ 10.88% ( -0.57) 0-0 @ 5.89% ( -0.6) 2-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.96%	0-1 @ 10.66% ( -0.32) 1-2 @ 9.86% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 9.67% ( 0.37) 1-3 @ 5.96% ( 0.49) 0-3 @ 5.84% ( 0.6) 2-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.19) 1-4 @ 2.7% ( 0.39) 0-4 @ 2.65% ( 0.43) 2-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.17) 1-5 @ 0.98% ( 0.2) 0-5 @ 0.96% ( 0.21) Other @ 2.25% Total : 55.93%