Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 55.94%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Juventus had a probability of 21.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.86%) and 0-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Juventus win it was 1-0 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.