Portimonense
Taca de Portugal | Third Round
Oct 18, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio do Portimonense SC
Sporting Lisbon

Portimonense
1 - 2
Sporting Lisbon

Elijah (87')
Joao Jose (61')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Harder (40', 90+4')
Hjulmand (81'), Inacio (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Taca de Portugal clash between Portimonense and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portimonense

All competitions
Last Game: Portimonense 0-0 Farense
Friday, August 2 at 8pm in Club Friendlies 3

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 2-0 Casa Pia
Saturday, October 5 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 63.69%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 16.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.91%) and 0-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.23%), while for a Portimonense win it was 2-1 (4.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
PortimonenseDrawSporting Lisbon
16.48%19.81%63.69%
Both teams to score 55.67%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.79%39.2%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.46%61.53%
Portimonense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.03%36.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.24%73.74%
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.31%11.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.23%36.76%
Score Analysis
    Portimonense 16.48%
    Sporting Lisbon 63.69%
    Draw 19.81%
PortimonenseDrawSporting Lisbon
2-1 @ 4.59%
1-0 @ 4.3%
2-0 @ 2.14%
3-2 @ 1.64%
3-1 @ 1.52%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 16.48%
1-1 @ 9.23%
2-2 @ 4.93%
0-0 @ 4.32%
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 19.81%
0-2 @ 9.95%
1-2 @ 9.91%
0-1 @ 9.27%
0-3 @ 7.12%
1-3 @ 7.09%
0-4 @ 3.82%
1-4 @ 3.81%
2-3 @ 3.53%
2-4 @ 1.89%
0-5 @ 1.64%
1-5 @ 1.64%
Other @ 4.02%
Total : 63.69%

How you voted: Portimonense vs Sporting Lisbon

Portimonense
11.1%
Draw
22.2%
Sporting Lisbon
66.7%
9
Head to Head
May 4, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 32
Sporting Lisbon
3-0
Portimonense
Paulinho (13'), Trincao (70'), Gyokeres (90+2')
Esgaio (61'), Inacio (79'), Santos (82')

Formiga (72'), Formiga (75'), Cassama (81'), Varela (82'), Cassama (82')
> Preview
Dec 30, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 15
Portimonense
1-2
Sporting Lisbon
Relvas (69')
Guga (56'), Pedrao (86'), Dener (87'), Ventura (88'), Tornich (90+2')
Gyokeres (59'), Paulinho (80')
Neto (34'), Goncalves (52'), Diomande (67')
> Preview
Mar 4, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 23
Portimonense
0-1
Sporting Lisbon
Paulinho (77')
> Preview
Sep 10, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 6
Sporting Lisbon
4-0
Portimonense
Trincao (7', 41'), Goncalves (72'), Santos (76')
> Preview
May 7, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 33
Portimonense
2-3
Sporting Lisbon
Carlinhos (25'), Junior (30')
Moufi (38'), Da Costa (64')
Tabata (12'), Sarabia (71', 76')
Esgaio (67'), Coates (90+3')
> Preview